Delcy Rodríguez holds overwhelming trader consensus as Venezuela’s likely de facto leader through the end of 2026 because U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, after which the Supreme Court and National Assembly installed her as acting president. The military recognized her succession, and the Trump administration extended diplomatic recognition and practical influence over oil policy and appointments in exchange for production increases and stability. Rodríguez has since consolidated authority by placing loyalists in key security and economic posts while preserving core Chavista institutions. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González lack institutional backing or military support, leaving them marginal in the current power structure. No scheduled elections or constitutional deadlines within the market window have emerged to alter this trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDelcy Rodríguez 90%
María Corina Machado 4.5%
Dinorah Figuera 2.0%
Pete Hegseth <1%
$367,363 KL.
$367,363 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
90%
María Corina Machado
5%
Dinorah Figuera
2%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Marco Rubio
1%
Dan Caine
1%
Donald Trump
1%
Edmundo González
1%
Jorge Rodríguez
1%
No Head of State
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Delcy Rodríguez 90%
María Corina Machado 4.5%
Dinorah Figuera 2.0%
Pete Hegseth <1%
$367,363 KL.
$367,363 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
Delcy Rodríguez
$86,149 KL.
90%
María Corina Machado
$52,016 KL.
5%
Dinorah Figuera
$4,171 KL.
2%
Pete Hegseth
$2,758 KL.
1%
Marco Rubio
$5,959 KL.
1%
Dan Caine
$3,059 KL.
1%
Donald Trump
$2,670 KL.
1%
Edmundo González
$3,500 KL.
1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$8,193 KL.
1%
No Head of State
$66,886 KL.
<1%
Nicolás Maduro
$4,151 KL.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$68,019 KL.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$42,101 KL.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$3,393 KL.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$7,128 KL.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$7,209 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds overwhelming trader consensus as Venezuela’s likely de facto leader through the end of 2026 because U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, after which the Supreme Court and National Assembly installed her as acting president. The military recognized her succession, and the Trump administration extended diplomatic recognition and practical influence over oil policy and appointments in exchange for production increases and stability. Rodríguez has since consolidated authority by placing loyalists in key security and economic posts while preserving core Chavista institutions. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González lack institutional backing or military support, leaving them marginal in the current power structure. No scheduled elections or constitutional deadlines within the market window have emerged to alter this trajectory.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Thị trường mở: May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Khối lượng
$367,363Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.Delcy Rodríguez holds overwhelming trader consensus as Venezuela’s likely de facto leader through the end of 2026 because U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, after which the Supreme Court and National Assembly installed her as acting president. The military recognized her succession, and the Trump administration extended diplomatic recognition and practical influence over oil policy and appointments in exchange for production increases and stability. Rodríguez has since consolidated authority by placing loyalists in key security and economic posts while preserving core Chavista institutions. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González lack institutional backing or military support, leaving them marginal in the current power structure. No scheduled elections or constitutional deadlines within the market window have emerged to alter this trajectory.
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary executive authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition.
Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required.
If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time.
If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure.
Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Khối lượng
$367,363Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Delcy Rodríguez holds overwhelming trader consensus as Venezuela’s likely de facto leader through the end of 2026 because U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro in January 2026, after which the Supreme Court and National Assembly installed her as acting president. The military recognized her succession, and the Trump administration extended diplomatic recognition and practical influence over oil policy and appointments in exchange for production increases and stability. Rodríguez has since consolidated authority by placing loyalists in key security and economic posts while preserving core Chavista institutions. Opposition figures such as María Corina Machado and Edmundo González lack institutional backing or military support, leaving them marginal in the current power structure. No scheduled elections or constitutional deadlines within the market window have emerged to alter this trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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