Former Rep. Mary Peltola leads trader consensus at 56.5% over incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan's 37.5% in Alaska's 2026 U.S. Senate race, driven by consistent polling advantages. Mid-April Alaska Survey Research surveys of likely voters showed Peltola ahead 49-50% to 43%, extending a streak of six favorable polls since October 2025, bolstered by her strong Q1 fundraising nearing $9 million and May 9 announcement of 4,500 volunteers signaling grassroots momentum. Sullivan, seeking a third term after 2020's 12-point win, faces challenges from Peltola's appeal to independents on fisheries and local issues. Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 feeds into the November 3 ranked-choice general, where moderate voters and turnout could tip the balance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAlaska Senate Election Winner
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola 56%
Dan Sullivan 35%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$318,972 KL.
$318,972 KL.
Mary Peltola
56%
Dan Sullivan
35%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
Mary Peltola 56%
Dan Sullivan 35%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$318,972 KL.
$318,972 KL.
Mary Peltola
56%
Dan Sullivan
35%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Rep. Mary Peltola leads trader consensus at 56.5% over incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan's 37.5% in Alaska's 2026 U.S. Senate race, driven by consistent polling advantages. Mid-April Alaska Survey Research surveys of likely voters showed Peltola ahead 49-50% to 43%, extending a streak of six favorable polls since October 2025, bolstered by her strong Q1 fundraising nearing $9 million and May 9 announcement of 4,500 volunteers signaling grassroots momentum. Sullivan, seeking a third term after 2020's 12-point win, faces challenges from Peltola's appeal to independents on fisheries and local issues. Alaska's top-four primary on August 18 feeds into the November 3 ranked-choice general, where moderate voters and turnout could tip the balance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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