Incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan seeks a third term against former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola in Alaska's Aug. 18 top-four primary, with the general election using ranked-choice voting on Nov. 3. Recent polling shows narrow margins, with Peltola holding slight edges in some surveys, while her campaign has reported substantially higher fundraising totals and labor endorsements. A same-name Republican primary challenger has raised concerns about ballot confusion and vote distribution among Republican voters. These factors, combined with Alaska's competitive electorate and Peltola's prior statewide success, sustain trader consensus near even odds, with separation likely depending on primary results, turnout among key voting blocs, and any shifts in subsequent polling aggregates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAlaska Senate Election Winner
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola 52%
Dan Sullivan 49%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$391,657 KL.
$391,657 KL.
Mary Peltola
52%
Dan Sullivan
49%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
Mary Peltola 52%
Dan Sullivan 49%
Dustin Darden <1%
Ann Diener <1%
$391,657 KL.
$391,657 KL.
Mary Peltola
52%
Dan Sullivan
49%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
Richard Grayson
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan seeks a third term against former U.S. Rep. Mary Peltola in Alaska's Aug. 18 top-four primary, with the general election using ranked-choice voting on Nov. 3. Recent polling shows narrow margins, with Peltola holding slight edges in some surveys, while her campaign has reported substantially higher fundraising totals and labor endorsements. A same-name Republican primary challenger has raised concerns about ballot confusion and vote distribution among Republican voters. These factors, combined with Alaska's competitive electorate and Peltola's prior statewide success, sustain trader consensus near even odds, with separation likely depending on primary results, turnout among key voting blocs, and any shifts in subsequent polling aggregates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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