The U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 and the subsequent interim role of Delcy Rodríguez have shaped administration policy toward engagement with the existing Venezuelan government rather than immediate recognition of opposition figures. Trump has publicly questioned María Corina Machado’s domestic support and viability as leader, while U.S. officials including Secretary of State Marco Rubio have facilitated talks with Rodríguez’s representatives that explicitly exclude Machado. These developments, combined with eased sanctions tied to oil sector access and the absence of scheduled elections or constitutional triggers for leadership change by late 2026, underpin trader consensus against formal U.S. recognition of Machado by year-end. Late shifts could still arise from abrupt policy reversals, renewed opposition mobilization inside Venezuela, or unforeseen instability in Rodríguez’s interim arrangements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật4% khả năng
$179,084 KL.
$179,084 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
4% khả năng
$179,084 KL.
$179,084 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 and the subsequent interim role of Delcy Rodríguez have shaped administration policy toward engagement with the existing Venezuelan government rather than immediate recognition of opposition figures. Trump has publicly questioned María Corina Machado’s domestic support and viability as leader, while U.S. officials including Secretary of State Marco Rubio have facilitated talks with Rodríguez’s representatives that explicitly exclude Machado. These developments, combined with eased sanctions tied to oil sector access and the absence of scheduled elections or constitutional triggers for leadership change by late 2026, underpin trader consensus against formal U.S. recognition of Machado by year-end. Late shifts could still arise from abrupt policy reversals, renewed opposition mobilization inside Venezuela, or unforeseen instability in Rodríguez’s interim arrangements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Khối lượng
$179,084Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 and the subsequent interim role of Delcy Rodríguez have shaped administration policy toward engagement with the existing Venezuelan government rather than immediate recognition of opposition figures. Trump has publicly questioned María Corina Machado’s domestic support and viability as leader, while U.S. officials including Secretary of State Marco Rubio have facilitated talks with Rodríguez’s representatives that explicitly exclude Machado. These developments, combined with eased sanctions tied to oil sector access and the absence of scheduled elections or constitutional triggers for leadership change by late 2026, underpin trader consensus against formal U.S. recognition of Machado by year-end. Late shifts could still arise from abrupt policy reversals, renewed opposition mobilization inside Venezuela, or unforeseen instability in Rodríguez’s interim arrangements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$179,084Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. capture of Nicolás Maduro in January 2026 and the subsequent interim role of Delcy Rodríguez have shaped administration policy toward engagement with the existing Venezuelan government rather than immediate recognition of opposition figures. Trump has publicly questioned María Corina Machado’s domestic support and viability as leader, while U.S. officials including Secretary of State Marco Rubio have facilitated talks with Rodríguez’s representatives that explicitly exclude Machado. These developments, combined with eased sanctions tied to oil sector access and the absence of scheduled elections or constitutional triggers for leadership change by late 2026, underpin trader consensus against formal U.S. recognition of Machado by year-end. Late shifts could still arise from abrupt policy reversals, renewed opposition mobilization inside Venezuela, or unforeseen instability in Rodríguez’s interim arrangements.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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