Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election has consistently placed Likud in the 21-24 seat range, down from its current 32, reflecting trader consensus around the 20-24 and 25-29 bands. Primary drivers include internal party tensions ahead of the August 17 primaries, where Prime Minister Netanyahu secured expanded control over roughly one-third of realistic slate positions through reserved slots, alongside ongoing coalition strains and competition from opposition figures such as Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party. Security developments since October 2023, judicial reform fallout, and bloc arithmetic that leaves the governing coalition short of 61 seats in most surveys keep outcomes tightly clustered. Shifts in polling aggregates, primary results, or late security or coalition events could widen the distribution before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.8%
30-34 15%
$99,187 KL.
$99,187 KL.
Oct 27, 2026
<20
19%
20-24
33%
25-29
35%
30-34
15%
35+
3%
25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.8%
30-34 15%
$99,187 KL.
$99,187 KL.
Oct 27, 2026
<20
$33,017 KL.
19%
20-24
$15,417 KL.
33%
25-29
$24,180 KL.
35%
30-34
$18,387 KL.
15%
35+
$8,186 KL.
3%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election has consistently placed Likud in the 21-24 seat range, down from its current 32, reflecting trader consensus around the 20-24 and 25-29 bands. Primary drivers include internal party tensions ahead of the August 17 primaries, where Prime Minister Netanyahu secured expanded control over roughly one-third of realistic slate positions through reserved slots, alongside ongoing coalition strains and competition from opposition figures such as Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party. Security developments since October 2023, judicial reform fallout, and bloc arithmetic that leaves the governing coalition short of 61 seats in most surveys keep outcomes tightly clustered. Shifts in polling aggregates, primary results, or late security or coalition events could widen the distribution before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Thị trường mở: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Khối lượng
$99,187Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election has consistently placed Likud in the 21-24 seat range, down from its current 32, reflecting trader consensus around the 20-24 and 25-29 bands. Primary drivers include internal party tensions ahead of the August 17 primaries, where Prime Minister Netanyahu secured expanded control over roughly one-third of realistic slate positions through reserved slots, alongside ongoing coalition strains and competition from opposition figures such as Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party. Security developments since October 2023, judicial reform fallout, and bloc arithmetic that leaves the governing coalition short of 61 seats in most surveys keep outcomes tightly clustered. Shifts in polling aggregates, primary results, or late security or coalition events could widen the distribution before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Khối lượng
$99,187Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election has consistently placed Likud in the 21-24 seat range, down from its current 32, reflecting trader consensus around the 20-24 and 25-29 bands. Primary drivers include internal party tensions ahead of the August 17 primaries, where Prime Minister Netanyahu secured expanded control over roughly one-third of realistic slate positions through reserved slots, alongside ongoing coalition strains and competition from opposition figures such as Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party. Security developments since October 2023, judicial reform fallout, and bloc arithmetic that leaves the governing coalition short of 61 seats in most surveys keep outcomes tightly clustered. Shifts in polling aggregates, primary results, or late security or coalition events could widen the distribution before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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