Recent polling shows Likud projected at 25-26 Knesset seats amid the October 2026 election cycle, with the new Beyachad alliance of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid polling at similar levels around 24-26. This matchup has kept the 20-24 and 25-29 seat ranges nearly even in trader pricing, as right-wing voters weigh defections from Likud while the broader opposition bloc remains short of a majority even when combining Zionist parties. Channel 12 surveys from mid-May highlight modest Likud gains in some samples but ongoing erosion among its 2022 base, alongside stable coalition totals near 50 seats. Further separation could emerge from additional candidate mergers, shifts in security conditions, or late-campaign turnout patterns among religious and secular blocs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật25-29 40%
30-34 31%
20-24 21%
35+ 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 27, 2026
<20
13%
20-24
37%
25-29
40%
30-34
31%
35+
18%
25-29 40%
30-34 31%
20-24 21%
35+ 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 27, 2026
<20
$1,815 KL.
13%
20-24
$80 KL.
37%
25-29
$179 KL.
40%
30-34
$132 KL.
31%
35+
$229 KL.
18%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling shows Likud projected at 25-26 Knesset seats amid the October 2026 election cycle, with the new Beyachad alliance of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid polling at similar levels around 24-26. This matchup has kept the 20-24 and 25-29 seat ranges nearly even in trader pricing, as right-wing voters weigh defections from Likud while the broader opposition bloc remains short of a majority even when combining Zionist parties. Channel 12 surveys from mid-May highlight modest Likud gains in some samples but ongoing erosion among its 2022 base, alongside stable coalition totals near 50 seats. Further separation could emerge from additional candidate mergers, shifts in security conditions, or late-campaign turnout patterns among religious and secular blocs.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Thị trường mở: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,435Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling shows Likud projected at 25-26 Knesset seats amid the October 2026 election cycle, with the new Beyachad alliance of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid polling at similar levels around 24-26. This matchup has kept the 20-24 and 25-29 seat ranges nearly even in trader pricing, as right-wing voters weigh defections from Likud while the broader opposition bloc remains short of a majority even when combining Zionist parties. Channel 12 surveys from mid-May highlight modest Likud gains in some samples but ongoing erosion among its 2022 base, alongside stable coalition totals near 50 seats. Further separation could emerge from additional candidate mergers, shifts in security conditions, or late-campaign turnout patterns among religious and secular blocs.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Khối lượng
$2,435Ngày kết thúc
Oct 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Likud projected at 25-26 Knesset seats amid the October 2026 election cycle, with the new Beyachad alliance of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid polling at similar levels around 24-26. This matchup has kept the 20-24 and 25-29 seat ranges nearly even in trader pricing, as right-wing voters weigh defections from Likud while the broader opposition bloc remains short of a majority even when combining Zionist parties. Channel 12 surveys from mid-May highlight modest Likud gains in some samples but ongoing erosion among its 2022 base, alongside stable coalition totals near 50 seats. Further separation could emerge from additional candidate mergers, shifts in security conditions, or late-campaign turnout patterns among religious and secular blocs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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