Incumbent U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz faces progressive challenger Oliver Larkin in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 25th Congressional District. Polling has tightened sharply, with a Larkin-commissioned survey showing a statistical tie (40-38) and 22% undecided just days before voting, though earlier independent polls gave Moskowitz leads of 30+ points. Moskowitz holds an overwhelming cash advantage exceeding 11-to-1 and dominates early ballots, while Larkin leads among remaining voters and benefits from turnout mobilization in a low-turnout primary. These dynamics, combined with the race’s proximity to election day, underpin trader pricing that heavily weights a large Moskowitz victory alongside substantial probability on narrower or non-listed outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMoskowitz 25%+ 39%
Moskowitz 20–25% 24%
Moskowitz 15–20% 17%
Moskowitz 10–15% 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
Moskowitz 25%+
39%
Moskowitz 20–25%
24%
Moskowitz 15–20%
17%
Moskowitz 10–15%
17%
Moskowitz 5–10%
4%
Moskowitz <5%
9%
Larkin <5%
1%
Larkin 5–10%
1%
Larkin 10–15%
3%
Larkin 15–20%
3%
Larkin 20–25%
3%
Larkin 25%+
3%
Moskowitz 25%+ 39%
Moskowitz 20–25% 24%
Moskowitz 15–20% 17%
Moskowitz 10–15% 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 18, 2026
Moskowitz 25%+
$5,153 KL.
39%
Moskowitz 20–25%
$576 KL.
24%
Moskowitz 15–20%
$303 KL.
17%
Moskowitz 10–15%
$193 KL.
17%
Moskowitz 5–10%
$31 KL.
4%
Moskowitz <5%
$47 KL.
9%
Larkin <5%
$208 KL.
1%
Larkin 5–10%
$137 KL.
1%
Larkin 10–15%
$197 KL.
3%
Larkin 15–20%
$159 KL.
3%
Larkin 20–25%
$137 KL.
3%
Larkin 25%+
$225 KL.
3%
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz faces progressive challenger Oliver Larkin in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 25th Congressional District. Polling has tightened sharply, with a Larkin-commissioned survey showing a statistical tie (40-38) and 22% undecided just days before voting, though earlier independent polls gave Moskowitz leads of 30+ points. Moskowitz holds an overwhelming cash advantage exceeding 11-to-1 and dominates early ballots, while Larkin leads among remaining voters and benefits from turnout mobilization in a low-turnout primary. These dynamics, combined with the race’s proximity to election day, underpin trader pricing that heavily weights a large Moskowitz victory alongside substantial probability on narrower or non-listed outcomes.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,368Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz faces progressive challenger Oliver Larkin in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 25th Congressional District. Polling has tightened sharply, with a Larkin-commissioned survey showing a statistical tie (40-38) and 22% undecided just days before voting, though earlier independent polls gave Moskowitz leads of 30+ points. Moskowitz holds an overwhelming cash advantage exceeding 11-to-1 and dominates early ballots, while Larkin leads among remaining voters and benefits from turnout mobilization in a low-turnout primary. These dynamics, combined with the race’s proximity to election day, underpin trader pricing that heavily weights a large Moskowitz victory alongside substantial probability on narrower or non-listed outcomes.
Primary elections in Florida are scheduled to be held on August 18, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary for Florida's 25th Congressional District (FL-25).
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Florida, such as official results published by the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Khối lượng
$7,368Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz faces progressive challenger Oliver Larkin in the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 25th Congressional District. Polling has tightened sharply, with a Larkin-commissioned survey showing a statistical tie (40-38) and 22% undecided just days before voting, though earlier independent polls gave Moskowitz leads of 30+ points. Moskowitz holds an overwhelming cash advantage exceeding 11-to-1 and dominates early ballots, while Larkin leads among remaining voters and benefits from turnout mobilization in a low-turnout primary. These dynamics, combined with the race’s proximity to election day, underpin trader pricing that heavily weights a large Moskowitz victory alongside substantial probability on narrower or non-listed outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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