David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an August 11 primary upset over progressive challenger Francesca Hong, aided by incumbent Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement and his record as Milwaukee County executive. This positions him to consolidate party support in a swing state where Democrats have won the last two gubernatorial contests. Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, a U.S. representative aligned with former President Trump, won his primary easily but faces headwinds from national political dynamics and Crowley’s appeal among independents and suburban voters. Recent Marquette and other polls show a tight general election race heading into November, with turnout patterns and party loyalty emerging as key variables that traders weigh in assessing the implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWisconsin Governor Election Winner
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
$512,825 KL.
$512,825 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
David Crowley (D)
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
20%
$512,825 KL.
$512,825 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
David Crowley (D)
$270,382 KL.
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$242,444 KL.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an August 11 primary upset over progressive challenger Francesca Hong, aided by incumbent Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement and his record as Milwaukee County executive. This positions him to consolidate party support in a swing state where Democrats have won the last two gubernatorial contests. Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, a U.S. representative aligned with former President Trump, won his primary easily but faces headwinds from national political dynamics and Crowley’s appeal among independents and suburban voters. Recent Marquette and other polls show a tight general election race heading into November, with turnout patterns and party loyalty emerging as key variables that traders weigh in assessing the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$512,825Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an August 11 primary upset over progressive challenger Francesca Hong, aided by incumbent Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement and his record as Milwaukee County executive. This positions him to consolidate party support in a swing state where Democrats have won the last two gubernatorial contests. Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, a U.S. representative aligned with former President Trump, won his primary easily but faces headwinds from national political dynamics and Crowley’s appeal among independents and suburban voters. Recent Marquette and other polls show a tight general election race heading into November, with turnout patterns and party loyalty emerging as key variables that traders weigh in assessing the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$512,825Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination in an August 11 primary upset over progressive challenger Francesca Hong, aided by incumbent Gov. Tony Evers’ endorsement and his record as Milwaukee County executive. This positions him to consolidate party support in a swing state where Democrats have won the last two gubernatorial contests. Republican nominee Tom Tiffany, a U.S. representative aligned with former President Trump, won his primary easily but faces headwinds from national political dynamics and Crowley’s appeal among independents and suburban voters. Recent Marquette and other polls show a tight general election race heading into November, with turnout patterns and party loyalty emerging as key variables that traders weigh in assessing the implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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