Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tony Evers' retirement has opened Wisconsin's 2026 gubernatorial race, yet trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 79.5% based on a recent RMG Research generic ballot poll (April 10-14) showing Democrats ahead 50%-43%, fueled by Evers' +6 net approval and a +20 Democratic edge among highly enthusiastic voters. Republican primary fragmentation, with U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany leading early surveys but facing competition, contrasts with a crowded Democratic field including Mandela Barnes and Francesca Hong. Large undecided majorities (Marquette, February 2026) highlight uncertainty, though the market diverges bullishly from limited head-to-head polling; August 11 primaries and fundraising deadlines loom as key catalysts ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWisconsin Governor Election Winner
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
$69,328 KL.
$69,328 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
81%
Republican
20%
$69,328 KL.
$69,328 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$12,244 KL.
81%
Republican
$57,084 KL.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tony Evers' retirement has opened Wisconsin's 2026 gubernatorial race, yet trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 79.5% based on a recent RMG Research generic ballot poll (April 10-14) showing Democrats ahead 50%-43%, fueled by Evers' +6 net approval and a +20 Democratic edge among highly enthusiastic voters. Republican primary fragmentation, with U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany leading early surveys but facing competition, contrasts with a crowded Democratic field including Mandela Barnes and Francesca Hong. Large undecided majorities (Marquette, February 2026) highlight uncertainty, though the market diverges bullishly from limited head-to-head polling; August 11 primaries and fundraising deadlines loom as key catalysts ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$69,328Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tony Evers' retirement has opened Wisconsin's 2026 gubernatorial race, yet trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 79.5% based on a recent RMG Research generic ballot poll (April 10-14) showing Democrats ahead 50%-43%, fueled by Evers' +6 net approval and a +20 Democratic edge among highly enthusiastic voters. Republican primary fragmentation, with U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany leading early surveys but facing competition, contrasts with a crowded Democratic field including Mandela Barnes and Francesca Hong. Large undecided majorities (Marquette, February 2026) highlight uncertainty, though the market diverges bullishly from limited head-to-head polling; August 11 primaries and fundraising deadlines loom as key catalysts ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$69,328Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Gov. Tony Evers' retirement has opened Wisconsin's 2026 gubernatorial race, yet trader consensus prices a Democratic win at 79.5% based on a recent RMG Research generic ballot poll (April 10-14) showing Democrats ahead 50%-43%, fueled by Evers' +6 net approval and a +20 Democratic edge among highly enthusiastic voters. Republican primary fragmentation, with U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany leading early surveys but facing competition, contrasts with a crowded Democratic field including Mandela Barnes and Francesca Hong. Large undecided majorities (Marquette, February 2026) highlight uncertainty, though the market diverges bullishly from limited head-to-head polling; August 11 primaries and fundraising deadlines loom as key catalysts ahead of the November 3 general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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