Wisconsin's open 2026 gubernatorial race features a crowded Democratic primary on August 11 with candidates including Mandela Barnes, Sara Rodriguez, Francesca Hong, and David Crowley, while Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany holds the party endorsement. The general election is rated a toss-up by forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns Democrats an elevated probability due to the state's recent electoral patterns favoring the party in statewide contests, the strong name recognition and fundraising among leading Democratic contenders, and the absence of an incumbent. Recent filing deadlines and early polling showing competitive general-election matchups have reinforced positioning without shifting the implied edge. Key upcoming catalysts include primary results and any shifts in candidate momentum ahead of November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWisconsin Governor Election Winner
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
$78,009 KL.
$78,009 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
69%
Republican
31%
$78,009 KL.
$78,009 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$16,721 KL.
69%
Republican
$61,288 KL.
31%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wisconsin's open 2026 gubernatorial race features a crowded Democratic primary on August 11 with candidates including Mandela Barnes, Sara Rodriguez, Francesca Hong, and David Crowley, while Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany holds the party endorsement. The general election is rated a toss-up by forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns Democrats an elevated probability due to the state's recent electoral patterns favoring the party in statewide contests, the strong name recognition and fundraising among leading Democratic contenders, and the absence of an incumbent. Recent filing deadlines and early polling showing competitive general-election matchups have reinforced positioning without shifting the implied edge. Key upcoming catalysts include primary results and any shifts in candidate momentum ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$78,009Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wisconsin's open 2026 gubernatorial race features a crowded Democratic primary on August 11 with candidates including Mandela Barnes, Sara Rodriguez, Francesca Hong, and David Crowley, while Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany holds the party endorsement. The general election is rated a toss-up by forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns Democrats an elevated probability due to the state's recent electoral patterns favoring the party in statewide contests, the strong name recognition and fundraising among leading Democratic contenders, and the absence of an incumbent. Recent filing deadlines and early polling showing competitive general-election matchups have reinforced positioning without shifting the implied edge. Key upcoming catalysts include primary results and any shifts in candidate momentum ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$78,009Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's open 2026 gubernatorial race features a crowded Democratic primary on August 11 with candidates including Mandela Barnes, Sara Rodriguez, Francesca Hong, and David Crowley, while Republican U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany holds the party endorsement. The general election is rated a toss-up by forecasters, yet trader consensus assigns Democrats an elevated probability due to the state's recent electoral patterns favoring the party in statewide contests, the strong name recognition and fundraising among leading Democratic contenders, and the absence of an incumbent. Recent filing deadlines and early polling showing competitive general-election matchups have reinforced positioning without shifting the implied edge. Key upcoming catalysts include primary results and any shifts in candidate momentum ahead of November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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