Democratic nominee David Crowley holds a substantial lead in trader pricing for the open 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race following his narrow August 11 primary upset over Francesca Hong, aided by retiring Gov. Tony Evers' endorsement after Crowley suspended and reentered the contest. Recent Marquette Law School and other post-primary surveys show Crowley ahead by five points among likely voters (49-44) while registering a tie among all registered voters, with independents and Milwaukee-area turnout cited as pivotal factors. Republican nominee Tom Tiffany secured his party's nomination without significant opposition. The race remains competitive in this presidential swing state, where suburban margins, rural performance, and undecided voters could still shift outcomes before the November 3 election. Current market consensus diverges from polling averages that rate the contest closer to even.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWisconsin Governor Election Winner
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
$513,160 KL.
$513,160 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
David Crowley (D)
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
20%
$513,160 KL.
$513,160 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
David Crowley (D)
$270,710 KL.
81%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$242,449 KL.
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic nominee David Crowley holds a substantial lead in trader pricing for the open 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race following his narrow August 11 primary upset over Francesca Hong, aided by retiring Gov. Tony Evers' endorsement after Crowley suspended and reentered the contest. Recent Marquette Law School and other post-primary surveys show Crowley ahead by five points among likely voters (49-44) while registering a tie among all registered voters, with independents and Milwaukee-area turnout cited as pivotal factors. Republican nominee Tom Tiffany secured his party's nomination without significant opposition. The race remains competitive in this presidential swing state, where suburban margins, rural performance, and undecided voters could still shift outcomes before the November 3 election. Current market consensus diverges from polling averages that rate the contest closer to even.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$513,160Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic nominee David Crowley holds a substantial lead in trader pricing for the open 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race following his narrow August 11 primary upset over Francesca Hong, aided by retiring Gov. Tony Evers' endorsement after Crowley suspended and reentered the contest. Recent Marquette Law School and other post-primary surveys show Crowley ahead by five points among likely voters (49-44) while registering a tie among all registered voters, with independents and Milwaukee-area turnout cited as pivotal factors. Republican nominee Tom Tiffany secured his party's nomination without significant opposition. The race remains competitive in this presidential swing state, where suburban margins, rural performance, and undecided voters could still shift outcomes before the November 3 election. Current market consensus diverges from polling averages that rate the contest closer to even.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$513,160Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee David Crowley holds a substantial lead in trader pricing for the open 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race following his narrow August 11 primary upset over Francesca Hong, aided by retiring Gov. Tony Evers' endorsement after Crowley suspended and reentered the contest. Recent Marquette Law School and other post-primary surveys show Crowley ahead by five points among likely voters (49-44) while registering a tie among all registered voters, with independents and Milwaukee-area turnout cited as pivotal factors. Republican nominee Tom Tiffany secured his party's nomination without significant opposition. The race remains competitive in this presidential swing state, where suburban margins, rural performance, and undecided voters could still shift outcomes before the November 3 election. Current market consensus diverges from polling averages that rate the contest closer to even.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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