Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination for Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District in the March 10, 2026 primary with 86 percent of the vote, while Republican Ron Eller emerged from a narrow primary contest. The district’s D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance, including Thompson’s 62 percent victory in 2024, underpin trader consensus that the seat remains safely in Democratic hands ahead of the November general election. With no major developments since the primaries and limited Republican investment in the race, market pricing reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and district demographics. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout wave would represent the primary realistic paths to altering the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMS-02 House Election Winner
MS-02 House Election Winner
$36,491 KL.
$36,491 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
$36,491 KL.
$36,491 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,474 KL.
92%
Republican Party
$15,017 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination for Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District in the March 10, 2026 primary with 86 percent of the vote, while Republican Ron Eller emerged from a narrow primary contest. The district’s D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance, including Thompson’s 62 percent victory in 2024, underpin trader consensus that the seat remains safely in Democratic hands ahead of the November general election. With no major developments since the primaries and limited Republican investment in the race, market pricing reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and district demographics. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout wave would represent the primary realistic paths to altering the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$36,491Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination for Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District in the March 10, 2026 primary with 86 percent of the vote, while Republican Ron Eller emerged from a narrow primary contest. The district’s D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance, including Thompson’s 62 percent victory in 2024, underpin trader consensus that the seat remains safely in Democratic hands ahead of the November general election. With no major developments since the primaries and limited Republican investment in the race, market pricing reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and district demographics. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout wave would represent the primary realistic paths to altering the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$36,491Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination for Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District in the March 10, 2026 primary with 86 percent of the vote, while Republican Ron Eller emerged from a narrow primary contest. The district’s D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance, including Thompson’s 62 percent victory in 2024, underpin trader consensus that the seat remains safely in Democratic hands ahead of the November general election. With no major developments since the primaries and limited Republican investment in the race, market pricing reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and district demographics. A late scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout wave would represent the primary realistic paths to altering the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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