Iliana Iotova holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election market due to her position as incumbent following Rumen Radev’s January 2026 resignation, combined with recent polling showing decisive first- and second-round support. Traders have priced her odds at 73 percent while placing caretaker Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov second at 19.5 percent, reflecting his visibility from the February 2026 caretaker government but limited broader backing ahead of the vote. Lower-probability contenders such as Nikolai Denkov and Vassil Terziev remain marginal as party alignments and voter preferences continue to consolidate around established figures. The upcoming election timeline, still months away, leaves room for shifts driven by parliamentary developments or candidate announcements, though current trader consensus tracks Iotova’s structural advantages as the dominant factor.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtBulgaria Presidential Election
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova 74%
Аndrey Gyurov 20%
Nikolai Denkov 1.3%
Vassil Terziev <1%
$325,699 KL.
$325,699 KL.
Iliana Iotova
74%
Аndrey Gyurov
20%
Nikolai Denkov
1%
Vassil Terziev
1%
Kostadin Kostadinov
1%
Boyko Borissov
1%
Rosen Zhelyazkov
<1%
Natalia Kiselova
<1%
Blagomir Kotsev
<1%
Yanaki Stoilov
<1%
Atanas Atanasov
<1%
Delyan Peevski
<1%
Rosen Plevneliev
<1%
Krum Zarkov
<1%
Iliana Iotova 74%
Аndrey Gyurov 20%
Nikolai Denkov 1.3%
Vassil Terziev <1%
$325,699 KL.
$325,699 KL.
Iliana Iotova
74%
Аndrey Gyurov
20%
Nikolai Denkov
1%
Vassil Terziev
1%
Kostadin Kostadinov
1%
Boyko Borissov
1%
Rosen Zhelyazkov
<1%
Natalia Kiselova
<1%
Blagomir Kotsev
<1%
Yanaki Stoilov
<1%
Atanas Atanasov
<1%
Delyan Peevski
<1%
Rosen Plevneliev
<1%
Krum Zarkov
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iliana Iotova holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election market due to her position as incumbent following Rumen Radev’s January 2026 resignation, combined with recent polling showing decisive first- and second-round support. Traders have priced her odds at 73 percent while placing caretaker Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov second at 19.5 percent, reflecting his visibility from the February 2026 caretaker government but limited broader backing ahead of the vote. Lower-probability contenders such as Nikolai Denkov and Vassil Terziev remain marginal as party alignments and voter preferences continue to consolidate around established figures. The upcoming election timeline, still months away, leaves room for shifts driven by parliamentary developments or candidate announcements, though current trader consensus tracks Iotova’s structural advantages as the dominant factor.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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