Iliana Iotova leads the Bulgaria presidential election market at 76.5% implied probability as acting president and the endorsed candidate of the ruling Progressive Bulgaria party, which secured a parliamentary majority in the April 2026 vote after former president Rumen Radev resigned to enter partisan politics. Her July and August 2026 endorsements from Progressive Bulgaria and the Bulgarian Socialist Party, combined with polling showing roughly 50% public approval ahead of the October 25 contest, reinforce her position through institutional continuity and voter familiarity. Andrey Gyurov trails at 19.5% following his appointment as caretaker prime minister, though he lacks comparable party backing or polling momentum. Lower-probability names reflect fragmented opposition and minimal announced support. Trader consensus aligns with Iotova’s structural advantages while acknowledging the three-month window for potential shifts in coalition dynamics or campaign developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtBulgaria Presidential Election
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova 77%
Аndrey Gyurov 20%
Nikolai Denkov 1.3%
Vassil Terziev <1%
$324,018 KL.
$324,018 KL.
Iliana Iotova
77%
Аndrey Gyurov
20%
Nikolai Denkov
1%
Vassil Terziev
1%
Kostadin Kostadinov
1%
Boyko Borissov
1%
Rosen Zhelyazkov
<1%
Natalia Kiselova
<1%
Blagomir Kotsev
<1%
Yanaki Stoilov
<1%
Atanas Atanasov
<1%
Delyan Peevski
<1%
Rosen Plevneliev
<1%
Krum Zarkov
<1%
Iliana Iotova 77%
Аndrey Gyurov 20%
Nikolai Denkov 1.3%
Vassil Terziev <1%
$324,018 KL.
$324,018 KL.
Iliana Iotova
77%
Аndrey Gyurov
20%
Nikolai Denkov
1%
Vassil Terziev
1%
Kostadin Kostadinov
1%
Boyko Borissov
1%
Rosen Zhelyazkov
<1%
Natalia Kiselova
<1%
Blagomir Kotsev
<1%
Yanaki Stoilov
<1%
Atanas Atanasov
<1%
Delyan Peevski
<1%
Rosen Plevneliev
<1%
Krum Zarkov
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iliana Iotova leads the Bulgaria presidential election market at 76.5% implied probability as acting president and the endorsed candidate of the ruling Progressive Bulgaria party, which secured a parliamentary majority in the April 2026 vote after former president Rumen Radev resigned to enter partisan politics. Her July and August 2026 endorsements from Progressive Bulgaria and the Bulgarian Socialist Party, combined with polling showing roughly 50% public approval ahead of the October 25 contest, reinforce her position through institutional continuity and voter familiarity. Andrey Gyurov trails at 19.5% following his appointment as caretaker prime minister, though he lacks comparable party backing or polling momentum. Lower-probability names reflect fragmented opposition and minimal announced support. Trader consensus aligns with Iotova’s structural advantages while acknowledging the three-month window for potential shifts in coalition dynamics or campaign developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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