Iliana Iotova leads the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election market at 61 percent implied probability as the incumbent president backed by the BSP-United Left coalition. Her position strengthened after the Progressive Bulgaria alliance, associated with former president Rumen Radev, secured an outright parliamentary majority in the April 19 vote, ending five years of snap elections and political instability. This outcome shifted momentum toward Iotova ahead of the autumn contest. Challengers trail due to opposition fragmentation, with Nikolai Denkov at 12 percent reflecting the weakened centrist bloc's parliamentary performance and Vassil Terziev at 11 percent drawing limited cross-party support. Rosen Zhelyazkov and Boyko Borissov remain low at 4.5 percent and 2.6 percent amid GERB's reduced standing, leaving the field open but without a consolidated alternative that could close the gap before the vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtBulgaria Presidential Election
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova 61%
Nikolai Denkov 12%
Vassil Terziev 9.3%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 5%
$101,252 KL.
$101,252 KL.
Iliana Iotova
61%
Nikolai Denkov
12%
Vassil Terziev
9%
Rosen Zhelyazkov
5%
Boyko Borissov
3%
Blagomir Kotsev
<1%
Kostadin Kostadinov
<1%
Atanas Atanasov
<1%
Delyan Peevski
<1%
Rosen Plevneliev
<1%
Krum Zarkov
<1%
Yanaki Stoilov
<1%
Natalia Kiselova
<1%
Iliana Iotova 61%
Nikolai Denkov 12%
Vassil Terziev 9.3%
Rosen Zhelyazkov 5%
$101,252 KL.
$101,252 KL.
Iliana Iotova
61%
Nikolai Denkov
12%
Vassil Terziev
9%
Rosen Zhelyazkov
5%
Boyko Borissov
3%
Blagomir Kotsev
<1%
Kostadin Kostadinov
<1%
Atanas Atanasov
<1%
Delyan Peevski
<1%
Rosen Plevneliev
<1%
Krum Zarkov
<1%
Yanaki Stoilov
<1%
Natalia Kiselova
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iliana Iotova leads the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election market at 61 percent implied probability as the incumbent president backed by the BSP-United Left coalition. Her position strengthened after the Progressive Bulgaria alliance, associated with former president Rumen Radev, secured an outright parliamentary majority in the April 19 vote, ending five years of snap elections and political instability. This outcome shifted momentum toward Iotova ahead of the autumn contest. Challengers trail due to opposition fragmentation, with Nikolai Denkov at 12 percent reflecting the weakened centrist bloc's parliamentary performance and Vassil Terziev at 11 percent drawing limited cross-party support. Rosen Zhelyazkov and Boyko Borissov remain low at 4.5 percent and 2.6 percent amid GERB's reduced standing, leaving the field open but without a consolidated alternative that could close the gap before the vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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