The Jean-Lesage riding in Quebec City remains a tight contest ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with trader consensus reflecting a toss-up driven by the late-August nomination of Parti québécois candidate Claude Villeneuve to challenge incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire. Villeneuve, a former municipal opposition leader with prior PQ experience, has framed the race around local effectiveness and ideas, while Zanetti benefits from incumbency and the riding's 2022 QS plurality. Projections from models updated August 30 show QS and PQ separated by narrow margins in popular vote estimates, with other candidates from the CAQ, Liberals, and Conservatives trailing. The campaign's early stage, limited polling specific to the district, and split opposition votes sustain the uncertainty reflected in current market pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Claude Villeneuve 29%
Nathalie St-Pierre 29%
Sol Zanetti 28%
Gertrude Bourdon 24%
Claude Villeneuve
29%
Nathalie St-Pierre
29%
Sol Zanetti
28%
Gertrude Bourdon
24%
Nancy Joannette
19%
Claude Villeneuve 29%
Nathalie St-Pierre 29%
Sol Zanetti 28%
Gertrude Bourdon 24%
Claude Villeneuve
29%
Nathalie St-Pierre
29%
Sol Zanetti
28%
Gertrude Bourdon
24%
Nancy Joannette
19%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Jean-Lesage riding in Quebec City remains a tight contest ahead of the October 5, 2026, provincial election, with trader consensus reflecting a toss-up driven by the late-August nomination of Parti québécois candidate Claude Villeneuve to challenge incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire. Villeneuve, a former municipal opposition leader with prior PQ experience, has framed the race around local effectiveness and ideas, while Zanetti benefits from incumbency and the riding's 2022 QS plurality. Projections from models updated August 30 show QS and PQ separated by narrow margins in popular vote estimates, with other candidates from the CAQ, Liberals, and Conservatives trailing. The campaign's early stage, limited polling specific to the district, and split opposition votes sustain the uncertainty reflected in current market pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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