Trader consensus on Polymarket places the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) as the clear leader for second place in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its longstanding role as the main opposition force with established regional networks and historical performance near 19 percent in 2021. Recent VCIOM surveys show New People rising to second in some phone polls at 13–17 percent, supported by targeted media coverage and appeals to younger and middle-class voters, though face-to-face FOM data and weaker local structures keep its implied probability lower. The Liberal Democratic Party trails amid ongoing organizational adjustments following leadership changes. Party primaries and campaign preparations ahead of the mid-June official start continue to shape positioning in the mixed electoral system, where United Russia maintains a dominant lead.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 61%
New People (NL) 25%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 13%
United Russia (ER) 2.8%
$16,291 KL.
$16,291 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia (ER)
3%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
61%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
13%
New People (NL)
25%
Rodina
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
2%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 61%
New People (NL) 25%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 13%
United Russia (ER) 2.8%
$16,291 KL.
$16,291 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia (ER)
$2,554 KL.
3%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$2,368 KL.
61%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$1,672 KL.
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$2,170 KL.
13%
New People (NL)
$2,298 KL.
25%
Rodina
$2,827 KL.
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$2,403 KL.
2%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Trader consensus on Polymarket places the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) as the clear leader for second place in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its longstanding role as the main opposition force with established regional networks and historical performance near 19 percent in 2021. Recent VCIOM surveys show New People rising to second in some phone polls at 13–17 percent, supported by targeted media coverage and appeals to younger and middle-class voters, though face-to-face FOM data and weaker local structures keep its implied probability lower. The Liberal Democratic Party trails amid ongoing organizational adjustments following leadership changes. Party primaries and campaign preparations ahead of the mid-June official start continue to shape positioning in the mixed electoral system, where United Russia maintains a dominant lead.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Thị trường mở: Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$16,291Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Trader consensus on Polymarket places the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) as the clear leader for second place in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its longstanding role as the main opposition force with established regional networks and historical performance near 19 percent in 2021. Recent VCIOM surveys show New People rising to second in some phone polls at 13–17 percent, supported by targeted media coverage and appeals to younger and middle-class voters, though face-to-face FOM data and weaker local structures keep its implied probability lower. The Liberal Democratic Party trails amid ongoing organizational adjustments following leadership changes. Party primaries and campaign preparations ahead of the mid-June official start continue to shape positioning in the mixed electoral system, where United Russia maintains a dominant lead.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Khối lượng
$16,291Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket places the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) as the clear leader for second place in the September 2026 State Duma election, reflecting its longstanding role as the main opposition force with established regional networks and historical performance near 19 percent in 2021. Recent VCIOM surveys show New People rising to second in some phone polls at 13–17 percent, supported by targeted media coverage and appeals to younger and middle-class voters, though face-to-face FOM data and weaker local structures keep its implied probability lower. The Liberal Democratic Party trails amid ongoing organizational adjustments following leadership changes. Party primaries and campaign preparations ahead of the mid-June official start continue to shape positioning in the mixed electoral system, where United Russia maintains a dominant lead.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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