Eduardo Paes holds a commanding position in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, with trader consensus reflecting his consistent first-round leads in recent Genial/Quaest and other surveys. His decision to resign as mayor in March 2026 to seek the state office, combined with PSD party support and established voter recognition from prior terms, has consolidated backing ahead of the October 4 vote. The fragmented field, including lower-polling contenders such as Anthony Garotinho and Wilson Witzel, has limited organized opposition. Potential shifts could arise from changes in coalition alignments, late campaign developments, or turnout variations among key voting blocs before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEduardo Paes 93.4%
Douglas Ruas 3.2%
Colonel Busnello 1.4%
Anthony Garotinho 1.1%
$292,041 KL.
$292,041 KL.
Oct 5, 2026
Eduardo Paes
93%
Douglas Ruas
3%
Colonel Busnello
1%
Anthony Garotinho
1%
Felipe Curi
<1%
Rafa Luz
<1%
Fred Pacheco
<1%
Tarcísio Motta
<1%
Wilson Witzel
<1%
Lindbergh Farias
<1%
André Ceciliano
<1%
Dr. Luizinho
<1%
Chico Machado
<1%
Eduardo Pazuello
<1%
Nicola Miccione
<1%
André Português
<1%
Eduardo Paes 93.4%
Douglas Ruas 3.2%
Colonel Busnello 1.4%
Anthony Garotinho 1.1%
$292,041 KL.
$292,041 KL.
Oct 5, 2026
Eduardo Paes
$37,956 KL.
93%
Douglas Ruas
$11,661 KL.
3%
Colonel Busnello
$8,903 KL.
1%
Anthony Garotinho
$12,673 KL.
1%
Felipe Curi
$17,820 KL.
<1%
Rafa Luz
$5,431 KL.
<1%
Fred Pacheco
$133,256 KL.
<1%
Tarcísio Motta
$8,937 KL.
<1%
Wilson Witzel
$10,629 KL.
<1%
Lindbergh Farias
$6,147 KL.
<1%
André Ceciliano
$10,739 KL.
<1%
Dr. Luizinho
$8,497 KL.
<1%
Chico Machado
$7,600 KL.
<1%
Eduardo Pazuello
$2,717 KL.
<1%
Nicola Miccione
$5,387 KL.
<1%
André Português
$3,688 KL.
<1%
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes holds a commanding position in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, with trader consensus reflecting his consistent first-round leads in recent Genial/Quaest and other surveys. His decision to resign as mayor in March 2026 to seek the state office, combined with PSD party support and established voter recognition from prior terms, has consolidated backing ahead of the October 4 vote. The fragmented field, including lower-polling contenders such as Anthony Garotinho and Wilson Witzel, has limited organized opposition. Potential shifts could arise from changes in coalition alignments, late campaign developments, or turnout variations among key voting blocs before election day.
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
Khối lượng
$292,041Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes holds a commanding position in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, with trader consensus reflecting his consistent first-round leads in recent Genial/Quaest and other surveys. His decision to resign as mayor in March 2026 to seek the state office, combined with PSD party support and established voter recognition from prior terms, has consolidated backing ahead of the October 4 vote. The fragmented field, including lower-polling contenders such as Anthony Garotinho and Wilson Witzel, has limited organized opposition. Potential shifts could arise from changes in coalition alignments, late campaign developments, or turnout variations among key voting blocs before election day.
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$292,041Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Paes holds a commanding position in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial race, with trader consensus reflecting his consistent first-round leads in recent Genial/Quaest and other surveys. His decision to resign as mayor in March 2026 to seek the state office, combined with PSD party support and established voter recognition from prior terms, has consolidated backing ahead of the October 4 vote. The fragmented field, including lower-polling contenders such as Anthony Garotinho and Wilson Witzel, has limited organized opposition. Potential shifts could arise from changes in coalition alignments, late campaign developments, or turnout variations among key voting blocs before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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