Recent polling for São Paulo’s two Senate seats shows a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with Simone Tebet and Marina Silva holding narrow leads in intention surveys while Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles remain within striking distance. The crowded candidate list, including Petter Maahs and several lower-polling conservatives, splits the right-leaning vote and sustains uncertainty over exact finishing order. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices assigns roughly even odds across numerous contenders for second place because no single candidate has consolidated broad support or benefited from decisive late momentum. Scheduled campaign start on August 16 and any subsequent endorsements, debate performances, or coalition signals could quickly reorder preferences and widen gaps among the top tier.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtGuilherme Derrite 23%
Simone Tebet 20%
Petter Maahs 18%
Marina Silva 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Guilherme Derrite
23%
Simone Tebet
29%
Petter Maahs
18%
Marina Silva
16%
Weller Gonçalves
11%
André do Prado
10%
Soninha Francine
10%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
9%
Geraldo Rufino
9%
Salles
8%
Marcio Alves
8%
Maíra de Souza
7%
Ednelson Cesaretti
6%
William Teixeira
6%
Guilherme Derrite 23%
Simone Tebet 20%
Petter Maahs 18%
Marina Silva 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Guilherme Derrite
$134 KL.
23%
Simone Tebet
$123 KL.
29%
Petter Maahs
$38 KL.
18%
Marina Silva
$123 KL.
16%
Weller Gonçalves
$38 KL.
11%
André do Prado
$78 KL.
10%
Soninha Francine
$70 KL.
10%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
$58 KL.
9%
Geraldo Rufino
$56 KL.
9%
Salles
$58 KL.
8%
Marcio Alves
$58 KL.
8%
Maíra de Souza
$49 KL.
7%
Ednelson Cesaretti
$71 KL.
6%
William Teixeira
$81 KL.
6%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for São Paulo’s two Senate seats shows a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with Simone Tebet and Marina Silva holding narrow leads in intention surveys while Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles remain within striking distance. The crowded candidate list, including Petter Maahs and several lower-polling conservatives, splits the right-leaning vote and sustains uncertainty over exact finishing order. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices assigns roughly even odds across numerous contenders for second place because no single candidate has consolidated broad support or benefited from decisive late momentum. Scheduled campaign start on August 16 and any subsequent endorsements, debate performances, or coalition signals could quickly reorder preferences and widen gaps among the top tier.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,038Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for São Paulo’s two Senate seats shows a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with Simone Tebet and Marina Silva holding narrow leads in intention surveys while Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles remain within striking distance. The crowded candidate list, including Petter Maahs and several lower-polling conservatives, splits the right-leaning vote and sustains uncertainty over exact finishing order. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices assigns roughly even odds across numerous contenders for second place because no single candidate has consolidated broad support or benefited from decisive late momentum. Scheduled campaign start on August 16 and any subsequent endorsements, debate performances, or coalition signals could quickly reorder preferences and widen gaps among the top tier.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$1,038Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for São Paulo’s two Senate seats shows a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, with Simone Tebet and Marina Silva holding narrow leads in intention surveys while Guilherme Derrite, André do Prado, and Ricardo Salles remain within striking distance. The crowded candidate list, including Petter Maahs and several lower-polling conservatives, splits the right-leaning vote and sustains uncertainty over exact finishing order. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices assigns roughly even odds across numerous contenders for second place because no single candidate has consolidated broad support or benefited from decisive late momentum. Scheduled campaign start on August 16 and any subsequent endorsements, debate performances, or coalition signals could quickly reorder preferences and widen gaps among the top tier.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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