Trader consensus heavily favors the Partido Liberal (PL) at 76% implied probability to secure the most seats among the 54 contested in Brazil's Senate election on October 4, 2026, driven by its broad strength across states in recent surveys. January-May polls from Estadão, CNN Brasil, and Veja show PL with competitive candidates in 12 states—particularly South, Southeast, and Central-West—potentially adding up to 22 seats per April projections, bolstered by opposition momentum from tight presidential polls tying President Lula (PT) with Flávio Bolsonaro (PL). MDB trails at 7.7% on Northeast leads like Helder Barbalho (Pará), while UNIÃO (4.3%) gains in spots like Goiás. Fragmented state-level polling leaves room for shifts ahead of candidate registrations and further surveys.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNext Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won
PL 71%
MDB 6.7%
UNIÃO 4.3%
PT 2.9%
$253,913 KL.
$253,913 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
PL
77%
MDB
7%
UNIÃO
4%
PT
3%
PSD
2%
REPUBLICANOS
1%
PSB
1%
PSDB
<1%
NOVO
<1%
PODEMOS
<1%
PP
<1%
PDT
<1%
PL 71%
MDB 6.7%
UNIÃO 4.3%
PT 2.9%
$253,913 KL.
$253,913 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
PL
$242,655 KL.
77%
MDB
$981 KL.
7%
UNIÃO
$958 KL.
4%
PT
$1,040 KL.
3%
PSD
$1,046 KL.
2%
REPUBLICANOS
$1,075 KL.
1%
PSB
$1,071 KL.
1%
PSDB
$1,023 KL.
<1%
NOVO
$1,134 KL.
<1%
PODEMOS
$1,151 KL.
<1%
PP
$935 KL.
<1%
PDT
$843 KL.
<1%
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus heavily favors the Partido Liberal (PL) at 76% implied probability to secure the most seats among the 54 contested in Brazil's Senate election on October 4, 2026, driven by its broad strength across states in recent surveys. January-May polls from Estadão, CNN Brasil, and Veja show PL with competitive candidates in 12 states—particularly South, Southeast, and Central-West—potentially adding up to 22 seats per April projections, bolstered by opposition momentum from tight presidential polls tying President Lula (PT) with Flávio Bolsonaro (PL). MDB trails at 7.7% on Northeast leads like Helder Barbalho (Pará), while UNIÃO (4.3%) gains in spots like Goiás. Fragmented state-level polling leaves room for shifts ahead of candidate registrations and further surveys.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Khối lượng
$253,913Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus heavily favors the Partido Liberal (PL) at 76% implied probability to secure the most seats among the 54 contested in Brazil's Senate election on October 4, 2026, driven by its broad strength across states in recent surveys. January-May polls from Estadão, CNN Brasil, and Veja show PL with competitive candidates in 12 states—particularly South, Southeast, and Central-West—potentially adding up to 22 seats per April projections, bolstered by opposition momentum from tight presidential polls tying President Lula (PT) with Flávio Bolsonaro (PL). MDB trails at 7.7% on Northeast leads like Helder Barbalho (Pará), while UNIÃO (4.3%) gains in spots like Goiás. Fragmented state-level polling leaves room for shifts ahead of candidate registrations and further surveys.
The next federal Senate election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, in which two-thirds of the Senate’s 81 seats will be contested.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Senate election.
Only seats contested in the next Brazilian Senate election will be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$253,913Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Partido Liberal (PL) at 76% implied probability to secure the most seats among the 54 contested in Brazil's Senate election on October 4, 2026, driven by its broad strength across states in recent surveys. January-May polls from Estadão, CNN Brasil, and Veja show PL with competitive candidates in 12 states—particularly South, Southeast, and Central-West—potentially adding up to 22 seats per April projections, bolstered by opposition momentum from tight presidential polls tying President Lula (PT) with Flávio Bolsonaro (PL). MDB trails at 7.7% on Northeast leads like Helder Barbalho (Pará), while UNIÃO (4.3%) gains in spots like Goiás. Fragmented state-level polling leaves room for shifts ahead of candidate registrations and further surveys.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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