Incumbent KMT Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds an 88.5% implied probability in the Keelung mayoral race for Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, reflecting trader consensus on his strong position. Hsieh, in office since 2022 and a former legislator, survived an October 2024 recall vote by a 55-45 margin, bolstering perceptions of resilience. The main DPP challenger, Tong Tzu-wei, trails at 7% amid a July 2026 Mirror Media poll showing only a narrow lead for Hsieh but with over 25% undecided voters. KMT’s broad 2026 candidate slate and local party infrastructure further support Hsieh’s positioning, while numerous low-probability or placeholder candidates register minimal market interest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2027
Hsieh Kuo-liang
89%
Tung Tzu-wei
8%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2027
Hsieh Kuo-liang
$875 KL.
89%
Tung Tzu-wei
$315 KL.
8%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent KMT Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds an 88.5% implied probability in the Keelung mayoral race for Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, reflecting trader consensus on his strong position. Hsieh, in office since 2022 and a former legislator, survived an October 2024 recall vote by a 55-45 margin, bolstering perceptions of resilience. The main DPP challenger, Tong Tzu-wei, trails at 7% amid a July 2026 Mirror Media poll showing only a narrow lead for Hsieh but with over 25% undecided voters. KMT’s broad 2026 candidate slate and local party infrastructure further support Hsieh’s positioning, while numerous low-probability or placeholder candidates register minimal market interest.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,190Ngày kết thúc
Nov 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent KMT Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds an 88.5% implied probability in the Keelung mayoral race for Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, reflecting trader consensus on his strong position. Hsieh, in office since 2022 and a former legislator, survived an October 2024 recall vote by a 55-45 margin, bolstering perceptions of resilience. The main DPP challenger, Tong Tzu-wei, trails at 7% amid a July 2026 Mirror Media poll showing only a narrow lead for Hsieh but with over 25% undecided voters. KMT’s broad 2026 candidate slate and local party infrastructure further support Hsieh’s positioning, while numerous low-probability or placeholder candidates register minimal market interest.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Khối lượng
$1,190Ngày kết thúc
Nov 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent KMT Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang holds an 88.5% implied probability in the Keelung mayoral race for Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections, reflecting trader consensus on his strong position. Hsieh, in office since 2022 and a former legislator, survived an October 2024 recall vote by a 55-45 margin, bolstering perceptions of resilience. The main DPP challenger, Tong Tzu-wei, trails at 7% amid a July 2026 Mirror Media poll showing only a narrow lead for Hsieh but with over 25% undecided voters. KMT’s broad 2026 candidate slate and local party infrastructure further support Hsieh’s positioning, while numerous low-probability or placeholder candidates register minimal market interest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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