Democrats secured a net gain of seven Republican-held Senate seats in the November 3, 2026 midterms, including flips in Iowa, Kansas, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, South Carolina, and Texas. This produced a confirmed total of 44 Republican seats once 33 races were called, with Alaska and Mississippi still uncalled but unlikely to alter the final count. Traders priced 44 seats at 98.4 percent because the results align with historical patterns of midterm losses for the president's party and reflect verified vote margins rather than speculation. The two pending races could theoretically shift the total only if both resolve unexpectedly in one direction, a low-probability outcome given current leads and certification timelines.