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Chính Trị·Bầu Cử Pháp

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Chính Trị·Bầu Cử Pháp

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

MỚI
Apr 30, 2027
Polymarket

$3,925 KL.

Polymarket
icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$232 KL.

16%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$831 KL.

71%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$60 KL.

5%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$181 KL.

45%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$15 KL.

5%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$164 KL.

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$55 KL.

3%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$126 KL.

3%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$0 KL.

16%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$200 KL.

8%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$21 KL.

6%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$25 KL.

14%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$354 KL.

45%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$10 KL.

4%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$100 KL.

4%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$83 KL.

2%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$54 KL.

7%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$74 KL.

4%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$208 KL.

4%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$105 KL.

1%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$0 KL.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$57 KL.

3%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$57 KL.

3%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$12 KL.

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$50 KL.

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$85 KL.

3%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$152 KL.

4%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$50 KL.

6%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$71 KL.

4%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$56 KL.

6%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$50 KL.

4%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$50 KL.

3%

icon for Other

Other

$92 KL.

33%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$38 KL.

4%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$121 KL.

3%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$81 KL.

4%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$6 KL.

4%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella, president of the National Rally, leads first-round polling at around 30-35 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner to advance from the far-right camp in the April 2027 presidential vote. Marine Le Pen's March 2025 conviction for embezzlement of European Parliament funds and resulting five-year ineligibility (with her appeal ruling due July 7, 2026) has accelerated Bardella's positioning as the party's standard-bearer. On the other side, recent surveys show a fragmented contest for the second runoff spot, with center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe and far-left candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon trading positions in the low-to-mid teens amid low single-digit showings for other declared or potential contenders. Left-wing unity efforts remain unresolved, while Macron-era dissatisfaction and ongoing polarization continue to shape first-round dynamics ahead of further candidate declarations and any party primaries.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Khối lượng
$3,925
Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2027
Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella, president of the National Rally, leads first-round polling at around 30-35 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner to advance from the far-right camp in the April 2027 presidential vote. Marine Le Pen's March 2025 conviction for embezzlement of European Parliament funds and resulting five-year ineligibility (with her appeal ruling due July 7, 2026) has accelerated Bardella's positioning as the party's standard-bearer. On the other side, recent surveys show a fragmented contest for the second runoff spot, with center-right figures such as Édouard Philippe and far-left candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon trading positions in the low-to-mid teens amid low single-digit showings for other declared or potential contenders. Left-wing unity efforts remain unresolved, while Macron-era dissatisfaction and ongoing polarization continue to shape first-round dynamics ahead of further candidate declarations and any party primaries.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Khối lượng
$3,925
Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2027
Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 37 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Jordan Bardella" ở mức 71%, tiếp theo là "Édouard Philippe" ở mức 45%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 71¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 71% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

"Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" là thị trường mới được tạo trên Polymarket, mở vào Jun 1, 2026. Là thị trường sớm, đây là cơ hội để bạn trở thành một trong những trader đầu tiên đặt tỷ lệ và thiết lập tín hiệu giá ban đầu. Bạn cũng có thể đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi khối lượng và hoạt động giao dịch khi thị trường phát triển.

Để giao dịch trên "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?," duyệt 37 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" là "Jordan Bardella" ở mức 71%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 71% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Édouard Philippe" ở mức 45%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.