With Macron constitutionally barred from a third consecutive term, French politics has seen an unusually crowded field of announcements throughout 2026 as parties position for the April 2027 two-round election. Marine Le Pen secured eligibility after a July appeals court ruling reduced her ineligibility period, allowing her Rassemblement National campaign launch, while the Republicans backed Bruno Retailleau outright and centrists including Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe declared early. On the left, Raphaël Glucksmann and others entered a scheduled October primary, amid polls showing polarization favoring Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon. Legal appeals, coalition talks, and voter turnout dynamics in key regions continue to shape further potential entries before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFrench Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
$97,659 KL.
Apr 22, 2027
Jordan Bardella
10%
Michel Barnier
10%
Valérie Pécresse
5%
Élisabeth Borne
9%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
9%
Jean Castex
2%
Gérald Darmanin
7%
Sébastien Lecornu
10%
François Bayrou
2%
Bernard Cazeneuve
39%
Carole Delga
4%
François Hollande
61%
Manuel Bompard
6%
Mathilde Panot
3%
Dominique de Villepin
68%
$97,659 KL.
Jordan Bardella
$6,278 KL.
10%
Michel Barnier
$422 KL.
10%
Valérie Pécresse
$1,266 KL.
5%
Élisabeth Borne
$3,034 KL.
9%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
$1,089 KL.
9%
Jean Castex
$1,246 KL.
2%
Gérald Darmanin
$1,178 KL.
7%
Sébastien Lecornu
$4,032 KL.
10%
François Bayrou
$1,278 KL.
2%
Bernard Cazeneuve
$1,273 KL.
39%
Carole Delga
$1,454 KL.
4%
François Hollande
$1,666 KL.
61%
Manuel Bompard
$3,330 KL.
6%
Mathilde Panot
$19,320 KL.
3%
Dominique de Villepin
$1,664 KL.
68%
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.With Macron constitutionally barred from a third consecutive term, French politics has seen an unusually crowded field of announcements throughout 2026 as parties position for the April 2027 two-round election. Marine Le Pen secured eligibility after a July appeals court ruling reduced her ineligibility period, allowing her Rassemblement National campaign launch, while the Republicans backed Bruno Retailleau outright and centrists including Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe declared early. On the left, Raphaël Glucksmann and others entered a scheduled October primary, amid polls showing polarization favoring Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon. Legal appeals, coalition talks, and voter turnout dynamics in key regions continue to shape further potential entries before year-end.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Khối lượng
$97,659Ngày kết thúc
Apr 23, 2027Thị trường mở
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.With Macron constitutionally barred from a third consecutive term, French politics has seen an unusually crowded field of announcements throughout 2026 as parties position for the April 2027 two-round election. Marine Le Pen secured eligibility after a July appeals court ruling reduced her ineligibility period, allowing her Rassemblement National campaign launch, while the Republicans backed Bruno Retailleau outright and centrists including Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe declared early. On the left, Raphaël Glucksmann and others entered a scheduled October primary, amid polls showing polarization favoring Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon. Legal appeals, coalition talks, and voter turnout dynamics in key regions continue to shape further potential entries before year-end.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.
Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$97,659Ngày kết thúc
Apr 23, 2027Thị trường mở
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...With Macron constitutionally barred from a third consecutive term, French politics has seen an unusually crowded field of announcements throughout 2026 as parties position for the April 2027 two-round election. Marine Le Pen secured eligibility after a July appeals court ruling reduced her ineligibility period, allowing her Rassemblement National campaign launch, while the Republicans backed Bruno Retailleau outright and centrists including Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe declared early. On the left, Raphaël Glucksmann and others entered a scheduled October primary, amid polls showing polarization favoring Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon. Legal appeals, coalition talks, and voter turnout dynamics in key regions continue to shape further potential entries before year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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