Chen Yu-jen holds an 87.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Kinmen County Magistrate race due to her March 2026 selection as the Kuomintang’s sole nominee and her position as the county’s sitting Legislative Yuan representative. Kinmen has long functioned as a KMT stronghold, with the party routinely capturing magistrate and legislative seats and no official Democratic Progressive Party candidate fielded in recent cycles. This structural advantage, combined with Chen’s established local profile and defense of county interests, has consolidated trader consensus around her prospects ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote. Remaining candidates, including Li Wen-liang at 10% and Liang Wen-tao at 8.8%, register minimal support as non-KMT contenders operating without comparable party infrastructure or name recognition in the county.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtChen Yu-jen 88%
Li Wen-liang 10%
Liang Wen-tao 2.4%
Yang Cheng-wu <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2027
Chen Yu-jen
88%
Li Wen-liang
10%
Liang Wen-tao
2%
Yang Cheng-wu
1%
Chen Yu-jen 88%
Li Wen-liang 10%
Liang Wen-tao 2.4%
Yang Cheng-wu <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2027
Chen Yu-jen
$1,926 KL.
88%
Li Wen-liang
$397 KL.
10%
Liang Wen-tao
$245 KL.
2%
Yang Cheng-wu
$246 KL.
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen holds an 87.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Kinmen County Magistrate race due to her March 2026 selection as the Kuomintang’s sole nominee and her position as the county’s sitting Legislative Yuan representative. Kinmen has long functioned as a KMT stronghold, with the party routinely capturing magistrate and legislative seats and no official Democratic Progressive Party candidate fielded in recent cycles. This structural advantage, combined with Chen’s established local profile and defense of county interests, has consolidated trader consensus around her prospects ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote. Remaining candidates, including Li Wen-liang at 10% and Liang Wen-tao at 8.8%, register minimal support as non-KMT contenders operating without comparable party infrastructure or name recognition in the county.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,814Ngày kết thúc
Nov 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen holds an 87.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Kinmen County Magistrate race due to her March 2026 selection as the Kuomintang’s sole nominee and her position as the county’s sitting Legislative Yuan representative. Kinmen has long functioned as a KMT stronghold, with the party routinely capturing magistrate and legislative seats and no official Democratic Progressive Party candidate fielded in recent cycles. This structural advantage, combined with Chen’s established local profile and defense of county interests, has consolidated trader consensus around her prospects ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote. Remaining candidates, including Li Wen-liang at 10% and Liang Wen-tao at 8.8%, register minimal support as non-KMT contenders operating without comparable party infrastructure or name recognition in the county.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Khối lượng
$2,814Ngày kết thúc
Nov 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chen Yu-jen holds an 87.5% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Kinmen County Magistrate race due to her March 2026 selection as the Kuomintang’s sole nominee and her position as the county’s sitting Legislative Yuan representative. Kinmen has long functioned as a KMT stronghold, with the party routinely capturing magistrate and legislative seats and no official Democratic Progressive Party candidate fielded in recent cycles. This structural advantage, combined with Chen’s established local profile and defense of county interests, has consolidated trader consensus around her prospects ahead of the November 28, 2026 vote. Remaining candidates, including Li Wen-liang at 10% and Liang Wen-tao at 8.8%, register minimal support as non-KMT contenders operating without comparable party infrastructure or name recognition in the county.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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