Tsai Yi-yu secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination for Chiayi County Magistrate after a decisive January 2026 primary victory over other contenders, establishing him as the frontrunner with strong local legislative experience and party backing ahead of the November 28 election. Opposition parties consolidated support in July 2026 around independent Puzi Mayor Wu Pin-jui as the primary challenger, though her market share remains limited. Lower-probability options such as Tsai Sung-yi reflect limited visibility or organizational strength at this stage. Trader consensus assigns Tsai Yi-yu the leading implied probability due to these nomination and consolidation dynamics, with scheduled campaign events and voter mobilization efforts in the coming months representing the main variables that could influence final outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTsai Yi-yu 90%
Wu Pin-jui 8%
Tsai Sung-yi 5.5%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2027
Tsai Yi-yu
90%
Wu Pin-jui
8%
Tsai Sung-yi
6%
Tsai Yi-yu 90%
Wu Pin-jui 8%
Tsai Sung-yi 5.5%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2027
Tsai Yi-yu
$660 KL.
90%
Wu Pin-jui
$271 KL.
8%
Tsai Sung-yi
$79 KL.
6%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Tsai Yi-yu secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination for Chiayi County Magistrate after a decisive January 2026 primary victory over other contenders, establishing him as the frontrunner with strong local legislative experience and party backing ahead of the November 28 election. Opposition parties consolidated support in July 2026 around independent Puzi Mayor Wu Pin-jui as the primary challenger, though her market share remains limited. Lower-probability options such as Tsai Sung-yi reflect limited visibility or organizational strength at this stage. Trader consensus assigns Tsai Yi-yu the leading implied probability due to these nomination and consolidation dynamics, with scheduled campaign events and voter mobilization efforts in the coming months representing the main variables that could influence final outcomes.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,010Ngày kết thúc
Nov 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Tsai Yi-yu secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination for Chiayi County Magistrate after a decisive January 2026 primary victory over other contenders, establishing him as the frontrunner with strong local legislative experience and party backing ahead of the November 28 election. Opposition parties consolidated support in July 2026 around independent Puzi Mayor Wu Pin-jui as the primary challenger, though her market share remains limited. Lower-probability options such as Tsai Sung-yi reflect limited visibility or organizational strength at this stage. Trader consensus assigns Tsai Yi-yu the leading implied probability due to these nomination and consolidation dynamics, with scheduled campaign events and voter mobilization efforts in the coming months representing the main variables that could influence final outcomes.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Chiayi County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Khối lượng
$1,010Ngày kết thúc
Nov 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tsai Yi-yu secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination for Chiayi County Magistrate after a decisive January 2026 primary victory over other contenders, establishing him as the frontrunner with strong local legislative experience and party backing ahead of the November 28 election. Opposition parties consolidated support in July 2026 around independent Puzi Mayor Wu Pin-jui as the primary challenger, though her market share remains limited. Lower-probability options such as Tsai Sung-yi reflect limited visibility or organizational strength at this stage. Trader consensus assigns Tsai Yi-yu the leading implied probability due to these nomination and consolidation dynamics, with scheduled campaign events and voter mobilization efforts in the coming months representing the main variables that could influence final outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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