Incumbent Javier Milei leads trader consensus at 51.5% for the 2027 election, reflecting his La Libertad Avanza party's congressional gains from the 2025 midterms and progress on austerity, deregulation, and fiscal balance despite ongoing economic adjustment. Axel Kicillof trails at 40% as the main Peronist challenger, buoyed by coalition-building efforts among opposition factions and polls showing him competitive in head-to-head scenarios. Milei's approval has slipped into the mid-30s amid persistent inflation, eroded purchasing power, and government scandals, while Sergio Massa and other candidates remain marginal due to limited momentum outside the primary Milei-Kicillof contest. Upcoming legislative votes and coalition negotiations could further shape probabilities ahead of the October 2027 vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJavier Milei 52%
Axel Kicillof 40%
Sergio Massa 5.5%
Myriam Bregman 1.5%
$524,776 KL.
$524,776 KL.
Javier Milei
52%
Axel Kicillof
40%
Sergio Massa
5%
Myriam Bregman
1%
Dante Gebel
1%
Juan Grabois
1%
Victoria Villarruel
<1%
Mauricio Macri
<1%
Esteban Bullrich
<1%
Facundo Manes
<1%
Juan Schiaretti
<1%
Javier Milei 52%
Axel Kicillof 40%
Sergio Massa 5.5%
Myriam Bregman 1.5%
$524,776 KL.
$524,776 KL.
Javier Milei
52%
Axel Kicillof
40%
Sergio Massa
5%
Myriam Bregman
1%
Dante Gebel
1%
Juan Grabois
1%
Victoria Villarruel
<1%
Mauricio Macri
<1%
Esteban Bullrich
<1%
Facundo Manes
<1%
Juan Schiaretti
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Thị trường mở: May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Javier Milei leads trader consensus at 51.5% for the 2027 election, reflecting his La Libertad Avanza party's congressional gains from the 2025 midterms and progress on austerity, deregulation, and fiscal balance despite ongoing economic adjustment. Axel Kicillof trails at 40% as the main Peronist challenger, buoyed by coalition-building efforts among opposition factions and polls showing him competitive in head-to-head scenarios. Milei's approval has slipped into the mid-30s amid persistent inflation, eroded purchasing power, and government scandals, while Sergio Massa and other candidates remain marginal due to limited momentum outside the primary Milei-Kicillof contest. Upcoming legislative votes and coalition negotiations could further shape probabilities ahead of the October 2027 vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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