Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows Labour gaining ground on the National-led coalition, with party vote shares positioning Labour as the frontrunner in seat projections under MMP rules. Declining support for Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and National, linked to cost-of-living pressures and voter fatigue with the current government’s economic record, has narrowed the coalition’s advantage. Opposition parties, including Labour and its potential partners, benefit from these trends while minor parties like New Zealand First and ACT see limited movement in recent surveys. The six-month campaign window leaves room for shifts from economic data releases, leadership events, or coalition negotiations. Trader pricing reflects this closely contested environment, where the leading outcome hinges on turnout in key electorates and final coalition arithmetic.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNew Zealand legislative election winner?
New Zealand legislative election winner?
Labour Party 56%
National Party 35%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 7, 2026
National Party
38%
Labour Party
56%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
New Zealand First Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
Labour Party 56%
National Party 35%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 7, 2026
National Party
$1,057 KL.
38%
Labour Party
$1,108 KL.
56%
Green Party
$329 KL.
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$339 KL.
<1%
New Zealand First Party
$319 KL.
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$314 KL.
1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows Labour gaining ground on the National-led coalition, with party vote shares positioning Labour as the frontrunner in seat projections under MMP rules. Declining support for Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and National, linked to cost-of-living pressures and voter fatigue with the current government’s economic record, has narrowed the coalition’s advantage. Opposition parties, including Labour and its potential partners, benefit from these trends while minor parties like New Zealand First and ACT see limited movement in recent surveys. The six-month campaign window leaves room for shifts from economic data releases, leadership events, or coalition negotiations. Trader pricing reflects this closely contested environment, where the leading outcome hinges on turnout in key electorates and final coalition arithmetic.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Thị trường mở: Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,464Ngày kết thúc
Nov 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows Labour gaining ground on the National-led coalition, with party vote shares positioning Labour as the frontrunner in seat projections under MMP rules. Declining support for Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and National, linked to cost-of-living pressures and voter fatigue with the current government’s economic record, has narrowed the coalition’s advantage. Opposition parties, including Labour and its potential partners, benefit from these trends while minor parties like New Zealand First and ACT see limited movement in recent surveys. The six-month campaign window leaves room for shifts from economic data releases, leadership events, or coalition negotiations. Trader pricing reflects this closely contested environment, where the leading outcome hinges on turnout in key electorates and final coalition arithmetic.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Khối lượng
$3,464Ngày kết thúc
Nov 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for New Zealand’s November 2026 general election shows Labour gaining ground on the National-led coalition, with party vote shares positioning Labour as the frontrunner in seat projections under MMP rules. Declining support for Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and National, linked to cost-of-living pressures and voter fatigue with the current government’s economic record, has narrowed the coalition’s advantage. Opposition parties, including Labour and its potential partners, benefit from these trends while minor parties like New Zealand First and ACT see limited movement in recent surveys. The six-month campaign window leaves room for shifts from economic data releases, leadership events, or coalition negotiations. Trader pricing reflects this closely contested environment, where the leading outcome hinges on turnout in key electorates and final coalition arithmetic.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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