PL leads the Chamber of Deputies race with a 61% implied probability due to its position as the largest current caucus, extensive state-level infrastructure, and effective candidate recruitment under the open-list proportional system. This structural edge aligns with right-wing momentum from Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential campaign, which polls show remains competitive with incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in both first-round and runoff scenarios as of mid-September 2026. UPB trails at 39.9% amid fragmentation among center-right and centrão groups, while smaller parties stay marginal given the 2% electoral threshold and limited scale. The October 4 vote coincides with the presidential contest, amplifying coattail effects for organized parties like PL without recent legislative-specific catalysts altering the positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPL 61%
UPB 39.4%
FE Brasil <1%
MDB <1%
$117,765 KL.
$117,765 KL.
Oct 3, 2026
PL
61%
UPB
39%
FE Brasil
1%
MDB
1%
MISSÃO
<1%
PSD
<1%
REPUBLICANOS
<1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
<1%
PODE
<1%
PDT
<1%
PSB
<1%
PSOL-REDE
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
<1%
Avante
<1%
NOVO
<1%
PL 61%
UPB 39.4%
FE Brasil <1%
MDB <1%
$117,765 KL.
$117,765 KL.
Oct 3, 2026
PL
$47,616 KL.
61%
UPB
$16,996 KL.
39%
FE Brasil
$6,777 KL.
1%
MDB
$6,303 KL.
1%
MISSÃO
$8,534 KL.
<1%
PSD
$4,639 KL.
<1%
REPUBLICANOS
$3,383 KL.
<1%
PSDB-CIDADANIA
$3,143 KL.
<1%
PODE
$2,399 KL.
<1%
PDT
$3,060 KL.
<1%
PSB
$3,426 KL.
<1%
PSOL-REDE
$2,948 KL.
<1%
PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE
$3,062 KL.
<1%
Avante
$3,096 KL.
<1%
NOVO
$2,383 KL.
<1%
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL leads the Chamber of Deputies race with a 61% implied probability due to its position as the largest current caucus, extensive state-level infrastructure, and effective candidate recruitment under the open-list proportional system. This structural edge aligns with right-wing momentum from Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential campaign, which polls show remains competitive with incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in both first-round and runoff scenarios as of mid-September 2026. UPB trails at 39.9% amid fragmentation among center-right and centrão groups, while smaller parties stay marginal given the 2% electoral threshold and limited scale. The October 4 vote coincides with the presidential contest, amplifying coattail effects for organized parties like PL without recent legislative-specific catalysts altering the positioning.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
Thị trường mở: Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
Khối lượng
$117,765Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).PL leads the Chamber of Deputies race with a 61% implied probability due to its position as the largest current caucus, extensive state-level infrastructure, and effective candidate recruitment under the open-list proportional system. This structural edge aligns with right-wing momentum from Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential campaign, which polls show remains competitive with incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in both first-round and runoff scenarios as of mid-September 2026. UPB trails at 39.9% amid fragmentation among center-right and centrão groups, while smaller parties stay marginal given the 2% electoral threshold and limited scale. The October 4 vote coincides with the presidential contest, amplifying coattail effects for organized parties like PL without recent legislative-specific catalysts altering the positioning.
The next federal Chamber of Deputies election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or electoral federation that holds the greatest number of seats in the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (Câmara dos Deputados) as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election.
In the event of a tie between multiple entities for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the entity whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats held by the named party or electoral federation in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies as a result of the next Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election, not by any coalition it may be a part of.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes) or the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies (https://www.camara.leg.br/).
Khối lượng
$117,765Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:44 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...PL leads the Chamber of Deputies race with a 61% implied probability due to its position as the largest current caucus, extensive state-level infrastructure, and effective candidate recruitment under the open-list proportional system. This structural edge aligns with right-wing momentum from Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential campaign, which polls show remains competitive with incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in both first-round and runoff scenarios as of mid-September 2026. UPB trails at 39.9% amid fragmentation among center-right and centrão groups, while smaller parties stay marginal given the 2% electoral threshold and limited scale. The October 4 vote coincides with the presidential contest, amplifying coattail effects for organized parties like PL without recent legislative-specific catalysts altering the positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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