The Tongatapu 2 by-election on 8 October follows the court-ordered unseating of the 2025 winner over bribery convictions, which also barred that MP from running again. Nine candidates registered after nominations closed in early September, including Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki, Lei Paasi, Sione Harvard Tupouniua, Samiuela Vea, Alvin Lafu Sika, and others, with no single standout emerging and the prior runner-up declining to stand. This crowded field fragments voter support across independents in the single-member constituency, producing tight trader consensus around multiple options and "Other." The outcome will hinge on local turnout and last-minute consolidation among the listed contenders before polling day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMele Teusivi 'Amanaki 28%
Lei Paasi 27%
Sione Harvard Tupouniua 27%
Samiuela Vea 24%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 8, 2026
Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki
28%
Lei Paasi
27%
Sione Harvard Tupouniua
27%
Samiuela Vea
24%
Alvin Lafu Sika
23%
Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi
21%
'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila
21%
'Olioni Manoa
20%
Mounu Uaisele
8%
Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki 28%
Lei Paasi 27%
Sione Harvard Tupouniua 27%
Samiuela Vea 24%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 8, 2026
Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki
$29 KL.
28%
Lei Paasi
$29 KL.
27%
Sione Harvard Tupouniua
$29 KL.
27%
Samiuela Vea
$29 KL.
24%
Alvin Lafu Sika
$29 KL.
23%
Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi
$29 KL.
21%
'Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila
$29 KL.
21%
'Olioni Manoa
$29 KL.
20%
Mounu Uaisele
$399 KL.
8%
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Tongatapu 2 by-election on 8 October follows the court-ordered unseating of the 2025 winner over bribery convictions, which also barred that MP from running again. Nine candidates registered after nominations closed in early September, including Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki, Lei Paasi, Sione Harvard Tupouniua, Samiuela Vea, Alvin Lafu Sika, and others, with no single standout emerging and the prior runner-up declining to stand. This crowded field fragments voter support across independents in the single-member constituency, producing tight trader consensus around multiple options and "Other." The outcome will hinge on local turnout and last-minute consolidation among the listed contenders before polling day.
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Khối lượng
$632Ngày kết thúc
Oct 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Tongatapu 2 by-election on 8 October follows the court-ordered unseating of the 2025 winner over bribery convictions, which also barred that MP from running again. Nine candidates registered after nominations closed in early September, including Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki, Lei Paasi, Sione Harvard Tupouniua, Samiuela Vea, Alvin Lafu Sika, and others, with no single standout emerging and the prior runner-up declining to stand. This crowded field fragments voter support across independents in the single-member constituency, producing tight trader consensus around multiple options and "Other." The outcome will hinge on local turnout and last-minute consolidation among the listed contenders before polling day.
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Khối lượng
$632Ngày kết thúc
Oct 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Tongatapu 2 by-election on 8 October follows the court-ordered unseating of the 2025 winner over bribery convictions, which also barred that MP from running again. Nine candidates registered after nominations closed in early September, including Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki, Lei Paasi, Sione Harvard Tupouniua, Samiuela Vea, Alvin Lafu Sika, and others, with no single standout emerging and the prior runner-up declining to stand. This crowded field fragments voter support across independents in the single-member constituency, producing tight trader consensus around multiple options and "Other." The outcome will hinge on local turnout and last-minute consolidation among the listed contenders before polling day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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