Recent polls, including Talbot Mills (May 1–10) and Taxpayers' Union–Curia (May 3–7), show Labour leading the party vote at 32–36% under New Zealand's mixed-member proportional (MMP) system, with National at 29–30% in clear second place, anchoring traders' 64% consensus on National for second-highest share on November 7. Incumbent National faces headwinds from Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's dipping approval ratings amid fragile economic recovery and coalition infighting with New Zealand First, boosting Labour's opposition bloc while smaller parties like ACT (down to 6–7%) and Greens lag. New Zealand First's rise to 11–14% fuels its 22% odds, though it trails National; upcoming budget debates and potential snap events could shift dynamics in this tight race.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
National Party 64%
Labour Party 37%
New Zealand First Party 22%
Green Party 19.4%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 7, 2026
National Party
64%
Labour Party
24%
New Zealand First Party
22%
Green Party
19%
ACT New Zealand
18%
Te Pāti Māori
14%
National Party 64%
Labour Party 37%
New Zealand First Party 22%
Green Party 19.4%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 7, 2026
National Party
$74 KL.
64%
Labour Party
$78 KL.
24%
New Zealand First Party
$46 KL.
22%
Green Party
$35 KL.
19%
ACT New Zealand
$35 KL.
18%
Te Pāti Māori
$35 KL.
14%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls, including Talbot Mills (May 1–10) and Taxpayers' Union–Curia (May 3–7), show Labour leading the party vote at 32–36% under New Zealand's mixed-member proportional (MMP) system, with National at 29–30% in clear second place, anchoring traders' 64% consensus on National for second-highest share on November 7. Incumbent National faces headwinds from Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's dipping approval ratings amid fragile economic recovery and coalition infighting with New Zealand First, boosting Labour's opposition bloc while smaller parties like ACT (down to 6–7%) and Greens lag. New Zealand First's rise to 11–14% fuels its 22% odds, though it trails National; upcoming budget debates and potential snap events could shift dynamics in this tight race.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Thị trường mở: Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$304Ngày kết thúc
Nov 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls, including Talbot Mills (May 1–10) and Taxpayers' Union–Curia (May 3–7), show Labour leading the party vote at 32–36% under New Zealand's mixed-member proportional (MMP) system, with National at 29–30% in clear second place, anchoring traders' 64% consensus on National for second-highest share on November 7. Incumbent National faces headwinds from Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's dipping approval ratings amid fragile economic recovery and coalition infighting with New Zealand First, boosting Labour's opposition bloc while smaller parties like ACT (down to 6–7%) and Greens lag. New Zealand First's rise to 11–14% fuels its 22% odds, though it trails National; upcoming budget debates and potential snap events could shift dynamics in this tight race.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Khối lượng
$304Ngày kết thúc
Nov 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including Talbot Mills (May 1–10) and Taxpayers' Union–Curia (May 3–7), show Labour leading the party vote at 32–36% under New Zealand's mixed-member proportional (MMP) system, with National at 29–30% in clear second place, anchoring traders' 64% consensus on National for second-highest share on November 7. Incumbent National faces headwinds from Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's dipping approval ratings amid fragile economic recovery and coalition infighting with New Zealand First, boosting Labour's opposition bloc while smaller parties like ACT (down to 6–7%) and Greens lag. New Zealand First's rise to 11–14% fuels its 22% odds, though it trails National; upcoming budget debates and potential snap events could shift dynamics in this tight race.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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