Recent polling for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election shows National and Labour locked in a tight race, each near 30% party vote amid rising support for the Opportunity Party and stable backing for NZ First, ACT, Greens and Te Pāti Māori. The MMP system, combined with Māori electorate dynamics and potential coalition pathways, keeps projected seat totals narrow between the two largest parties. Trader pricing for second place—National at 54% and Labour at 41.5%—reflects this closeness and recent mixed survey results, including July–August Roy Morgan and 1News-Verian figures indicating either bloc could secure the most seats. Minor parties remain below 1% in the market, consistent with their lower likelihood of finishing ahead of both majors under current trends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
National Party 53%
Labour Party 42%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$17,843 KL.
$17,843 KL.
Nov 7, 2026
National Party
53%
Labour Party
42%
New Zealand First Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
Green Party
<1%
National Party 53%
Labour Party 42%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$17,843 KL.
$17,843 KL.
Nov 7, 2026
National Party
$8,808 KL.
53%
Labour Party
$4,789 KL.
42%
New Zealand First Party
$1,262 KL.
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$1,199 KL.
1%
ACT New Zealand
$1,243 KL.
<1%
Green Party
$542 KL.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election shows National and Labour locked in a tight race, each near 30% party vote amid rising support for the Opportunity Party and stable backing for NZ First, ACT, Greens and Te Pāti Māori. The MMP system, combined with Māori electorate dynamics and potential coalition pathways, keeps projected seat totals narrow between the two largest parties. Trader pricing for second place—National at 54% and Labour at 41.5%—reflects this closeness and recent mixed survey results, including July–August Roy Morgan and 1News-Verian figures indicating either bloc could secure the most seats. Minor parties remain below 1% in the market, consistent with their lower likelihood of finishing ahead of both majors under current trends.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Thị trường mở: Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$17,843Ngày kết thúc
Nov 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election shows National and Labour locked in a tight race, each near 30% party vote amid rising support for the Opportunity Party and stable backing for NZ First, ACT, Greens and Te Pāti Māori. The MMP system, combined with Māori electorate dynamics and potential coalition pathways, keeps projected seat totals narrow between the two largest parties. Trader pricing for second place—National at 54% and Labour at 41.5%—reflects this closeness and recent mixed survey results, including July–August Roy Morgan and 1News-Verian figures indicating either bloc could secure the most seats. Minor parties remain below 1% in the market, consistent with their lower likelihood of finishing ahead of both majors under current trends.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Khối lượng
$17,843Ngày kết thúc
Nov 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election shows National and Labour locked in a tight race, each near 30% party vote amid rising support for the Opportunity Party and stable backing for NZ First, ACT, Greens and Te Pāti Māori. The MMP system, combined with Māori electorate dynamics and potential coalition pathways, keeps projected seat totals narrow between the two largest parties. Trader pricing for second place—National at 54% and Labour at 41.5%—reflects this closeness and recent mixed survey results, including July–August Roy Morgan and 1News-Verian figures indicating either bloc could secure the most seats. Minor parties remain below 1% in the market, consistent with their lower likelihood of finishing ahead of both majors under current trends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
53%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55%
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
60%
Labour
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp