**PQ's sustained polling lead, especially among francophone voters, underpins the market's strong consensus for a PQ victory in the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election.** Recent surveys show the Parti Québécois holding around 30% support, ahead of the PLQ and CAQ, with clearer advantages in key regions that translate into favorable seat projections under first-past-the-post rules. The April 2026 leadership transition in the governing CAQ—following François Legault’s resignation and Christine Fréchette’s selection as premier—has coincided with further erosion of CAQ support amid voter fatigue after years in office. The PLQ remains competitive in some anglophone and suburban areas but trails overall, while QS, PCQ, and PVQ register minimal shares. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics, including historical patterns of incumbency challenges and vote distribution, when pricing PQ as the clear frontrunner.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
Người chiến thắng trong cuộc Tổng tuyển cử Quebec
PQ 68%
CAQ 18%
PLQ 14%
PCQ <1%
$759,482 KL.
$759,482 KL.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
68%
CAQ
18%
PLQ
14%
PCQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PVQ
<1%
PQ 68%
CAQ 18%
PLQ 14%
PCQ <1%
$759,482 KL.
$759,482 KL.
Oct 5, 2026
PQ
$82,336 KL.
68%
CAQ
$108,667 KL.
18%
PLQ
$101,732 KL.
14%
PCQ
$207,634 KL.
<1%
QS
$101,615 KL.
<1%
PVQ
$157,498 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**PQ's sustained polling lead, especially among francophone voters, underpins the market's strong consensus for a PQ victory in the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election.** Recent surveys show the Parti Québécois holding around 30% support, ahead of the PLQ and CAQ, with clearer advantages in key regions that translate into favorable seat projections under first-past-the-post rules. The April 2026 leadership transition in the governing CAQ—following François Legault’s resignation and Christine Fréchette’s selection as premier—has coincided with further erosion of CAQ support amid voter fatigue after years in office. The PLQ remains competitive in some anglophone and suburban areas but trails overall, while QS, PCQ, and PVQ register minimal shares. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics, including historical patterns of incumbency challenges and vote distribution, when pricing PQ as the clear frontrunner.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Thị trường mở: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$759,482Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**PQ's sustained polling lead, especially among francophone voters, underpins the market's strong consensus for a PQ victory in the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election.** Recent surveys show the Parti Québécois holding around 30% support, ahead of the PLQ and CAQ, with clearer advantages in key regions that translate into favorable seat projections under first-past-the-post rules. The April 2026 leadership transition in the governing CAQ—following François Legault’s resignation and Christine Fréchette’s selection as premier—has coincided with further erosion of CAQ support amid voter fatigue after years in office. The PLQ remains competitive in some anglophone and suburban areas but trails overall, while QS, PCQ, and PVQ register minimal shares. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics, including historical patterns of incumbency challenges and vote distribution, when pricing PQ as the clear frontrunner.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 125 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Khối lượng
$759,482Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**PQ's sustained polling lead, especially among francophone voters, underpins the market's strong consensus for a PQ victory in the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election.** Recent surveys show the Parti Québécois holding around 30% support, ahead of the PLQ and CAQ, with clearer advantages in key regions that translate into favorable seat projections under first-past-the-post rules. The April 2026 leadership transition in the governing CAQ—following François Legault’s resignation and Christine Fréchette’s selection as premier—has coincided with further erosion of CAQ support amid voter fatigue after years in office. The PLQ remains competitive in some anglophone and suburban areas but trails overall, while QS, PCQ, and PVQ register minimal shares. Traders appear to weigh these dynamics, including historical patterns of incumbency challenges and vote distribution, when pricing PQ as the clear frontrunner.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
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