Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as the frontrunner at 56% to become Quebec's next Premier after the provincial election by October 5, driven by recent Pallas Data polling showing PQ edging Liberals 29%-28% in voter intentions amid a fragmented field, with PQ's vote efficiency projecting a National Assembly majority despite the tight popular vote. Quebec Liberal leader Charles Milliard trails at 35% following UPAC's recent meeting with him over party fundraising investigations, potentially eroding support. Incumbent CAQ Premier Christine Fréchette languishes at 19% and 4.3% odds, her early post-Legault boost fading, while Conservative Éric Duhaime garners 14% and 6.4% on right-wing gains in Quebec City and Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean. A Liaison Strategies survey confirms the PQ-PLQ deadlock, underscoring uncertainty until campaign catalysts emerge.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNext Premier of Quebec
Next Premier of Quebec
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 56%
Charles Milliard 38%
Éric Duhaime 5.5%
Christine Fréchette 4.3%
$23,967 KL.
$23,967 KL.
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
56%
Charles Milliard
38%
Éric Duhaime
5%
Christine Fréchette
4%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 56%
Charles Milliard 38%
Éric Duhaime 5.5%
Christine Fréchette 4.3%
$23,967 KL.
$23,967 KL.
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
56%
Charles Milliard
38%
Éric Duhaime
5%
Christine Fréchette
4%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Parti Québécois leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon as the frontrunner at 56% to become Quebec's next Premier after the provincial election by October 5, driven by recent Pallas Data polling showing PQ edging Liberals 29%-28% in voter intentions amid a fragmented field, with PQ's vote efficiency projecting a National Assembly majority despite the tight popular vote. Quebec Liberal leader Charles Milliard trails at 35% following UPAC's recent meeting with him over party fundraising investigations, potentially eroding support. Incumbent CAQ Premier Christine Fréchette languishes at 19% and 4.3% odds, her early post-Legault boost fading, while Conservative Éric Duhaime garners 14% and 6.4% on right-wing gains in Quebec City and Saguenay-Lac-Saint-Jean. A Liaison Strategies survey confirms the PQ-PLQ deadlock, underscoring uncertainty until campaign catalysts emerge.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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