Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the market at 71.5% because the Parti Québécois has held a consistent edge in voting intentions for months, recently polling near 30% ahead of the October 5, 2026 election. The party’s strength among francophone voters and Plamondon’s established profile as the longest-serving current leader reinforce trader expectations of a PQ victory. Christine Fréchette’s CAQ sits third in recent surveys around 19-22% despite her April 2026 leadership win and swearing-in as premier, while Charles Milliard’s Liberals hover near 27% after recovering ground but still trail. Low probabilities for Éric Duhaime, Ruba Ghazal, and others reflect their parties’ weaker standings. Recent outreach by Plamondon to anglophone voters and ongoing three-way polling dynamics remain the main variables that could shift the implied probabilities before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNext Premier of Quebec
Next Premier of Quebec
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 72%
Charles Milliard 14%
Christine Fréchette 13.4%
Bernard Drainville <1%
$242,804 KL.
$242,804 KL.
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
72%
Charles Milliard
14%
Christine Fréchette
13%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Éric Duhaime
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 72%
Charles Milliard 14%
Christine Fréchette 13.4%
Bernard Drainville <1%
$242,804 KL.
$242,804 KL.
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
72%
Charles Milliard
14%
Christine Fréchette
13%
Bernard Drainville
<1%
Sol Zanetti
<1%
Éric Duhaime
<1%
Ruba Ghazal
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the market at 71.5% because the Parti Québécois has held a consistent edge in voting intentions for months, recently polling near 30% ahead of the October 5, 2026 election. The party’s strength among francophone voters and Plamondon’s established profile as the longest-serving current leader reinforce trader expectations of a PQ victory. Christine Fréchette’s CAQ sits third in recent surveys around 19-22% despite her April 2026 leadership win and swearing-in as premier, while Charles Milliard’s Liberals hover near 27% after recovering ground but still trail. Low probabilities for Éric Duhaime, Ruba Ghazal, and others reflect their parties’ weaker standings. Recent outreach by Plamondon to anglophone voters and ongoing three-way polling dynamics remain the main variables that could shift the implied probabilities before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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