Recent polling averages place AfD well ahead for first in the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, leaving a fragmented contest for second among SPD, CDU, Linke, and BSW. Incumbent SPD Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s coalition faces eroding support after federal coalition strains and regional economic pressures, while CDU and Linke hover in the low double digits and BSW draws smaller shares. Trader consensus reflected in current prices shows several parties clustered near 30-50 percent implied probability for second, underscoring how small shifts in turnout among eastern voters or late campaign momentum could reorder the middle of the field before election night.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCDU 33%
AfD 33%
Grüne 33%
SPD 33%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
33%
AfD
33%
Grüne
33%
SPD
33%
FDP
33%
Linke
33%
FW
33%
BSW
33%
CDU 33%
AfD 33%
Grüne 33%
SPD 33%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
$0 KL.
33%
AfD
$0 KL.
33%
Grüne
$0 KL.
33%
SPD
$0 KL.
33%
FDP
$0 KL.
33%
Linke
$0 KL.
33%
FW
$0 KL.
33%
BSW
$0 KL.
33%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling averages place AfD well ahead for first in the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, leaving a fragmented contest for second among SPD, CDU, Linke, and BSW. Incumbent SPD Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s coalition faces eroding support after federal coalition strains and regional economic pressures, while CDU and Linke hover in the low double digits and BSW draws smaller shares. Trader consensus reflected in current prices shows several parties clustered near 30-50 percent implied probability for second, underscoring how small shifts in turnout among eastern voters or late campaign momentum could reorder the middle of the field before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polling averages place AfD well ahead for first in the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, leaving a fragmented contest for second among SPD, CDU, Linke, and BSW. Incumbent SPD Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s coalition faces eroding support after federal coalition strains and regional economic pressures, while CDU and Linke hover in the low double digits and BSW draws smaller shares. Trader consensus reflected in current prices shows several parties clustered near 30-50 percent implied probability for second, underscoring how small shifts in turnout among eastern voters or late campaign momentum could reorder the middle of the field before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place AfD well ahead for first in the September 20, 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, leaving a fragmented contest for second among SPD, CDU, Linke, and BSW. Incumbent SPD Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s coalition faces eroding support after federal coalition strains and regional economic pressures, while CDU and Linke hover in the low double digits and BSW draws smaller shares. Trader consensus reflected in current prices shows several parties clustered near 30-50 percent implied probability for second, underscoring how small shifts in turnout among eastern voters or late campaign momentum could reorder the middle of the field before election night.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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