Recent polling trends position the CDU as the clear frontrunner for second place in the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election. Multiple Sonntagsfragen surveys through early May show the AfD leading at 41 percent while the CDU holds steady at 26 percent, creating a consistent 14-point buffer over Die Linke at 12 percent and leaving the SPD, BSW, Greens, and FDP further behind. This gap has remained stable across INSA and Infratest dimap results since late 2025, reflecting entrenched voter patterns in the eastern state. Traders price the CDU at 92.5 percent because any reversal would require a rapid surge by smaller parties or a major polling shift before election day, neither of which has materialized in recent data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCDU 93%
AfD 4.5%
FDP 1.0%
BSW <1%
$47,447 KL.
$47,447 KL.

CDU
93%

AfD
5%

FDP
1%

BSW
1%

The Left
1%

The Greens
1%

SPD
1%
CDU 93%
AfD 4.5%
FDP 1.0%
BSW <1%
$47,447 KL.
$47,447 KL.

CDU
93%

AfD
5%

FDP
1%

BSW
1%

The Left
1%

The Greens
1%

SPD
1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Thị trường mở: Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends position the CDU as the clear frontrunner for second place in the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election. Multiple Sonntagsfragen surveys through early May show the AfD leading at 41 percent while the CDU holds steady at 26 percent, creating a consistent 14-point buffer over Die Linke at 12 percent and leaving the SPD, BSW, Greens, and FDP further behind. This gap has remained stable across INSA and Infratest dimap results since late 2025, reflecting entrenched voter patterns in the eastern state. Traders price the CDU at 92.5 percent because any reversal would require a rapid surge by smaller parties or a major polling shift before election day, neither of which has materialized in recent data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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