The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election produced preliminary results placing the CDU at 18.8 percent of the second vote, yielding a projected 28–34 seats in the 130-member Abgeordnetenhaus under the state’s personalized proportional system with overhang and leveling mandates. This outcome aligned closely with final pre-election surveys showing the party in the low twenties amid losses for the prior CDU-SPD coalition and gains for Die Linke and the AfD. Traders have converged on the 30–34 band because the published tallies and seat-allocation models leave little room for material revision once the full count and any minor adjustments for invalid ballots are complete. Only an unusually large discrepancy between preliminary and final figures or a successful legal challenge to district results could shift the total outside this interval.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật30-34 97.6%
45+ 2.3%
35-39 1.9%
40-44 <1%
$80,137 KL.
$80,137 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
<25
<1%
25-29
1%
30-34
98%
35-39
2%
40-44
1%
45+
2%
30-34 97.6%
45+ 2.3%
35-39 1.9%
40-44 <1%
$80,137 KL.
$80,137 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
<25
$3,501 KL.
<1%
25-29
$9,496 KL.
1%
30-34
$14,843 KL.
98%
35-39
$7,822 KL.
2%
40-44
$8,131 KL.
1%
45+
$36,345 KL.
2%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election produced preliminary results placing the CDU at 18.8 percent of the second vote, yielding a projected 28–34 seats in the 130-member Abgeordnetenhaus under the state’s personalized proportional system with overhang and leveling mandates. This outcome aligned closely with final pre-election surveys showing the party in the low twenties amid losses for the prior CDU-SPD coalition and gains for Die Linke and the AfD. Traders have converged on the 30–34 band because the published tallies and seat-allocation models leave little room for material revision once the full count and any minor adjustments for invalid ballots are complete. Only an unusually large discrepancy between preliminary and final figures or a successful legal challenge to district results could shift the total outside this interval.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
Khối lượng
$80,137Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election produced preliminary results placing the CDU at 18.8 percent of the second vote, yielding a projected 28–34 seats in the 130-member Abgeordnetenhaus under the state’s personalized proportional system with overhang and leveling mandates. This outcome aligned closely with final pre-election surveys showing the party in the low twenties amid losses for the prior CDU-SPD coalition and gains for Die Linke and the AfD. Traders have converged on the 30–34 band because the published tallies and seat-allocation models leave little room for material revision once the full count and any minor adjustments for invalid ballots are complete. Only an unusually large discrepancy between preliminary and final figures or a successful legal challenge to district results could shift the total outside this interval.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Khối lượng
$80,137Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The September 20, 2026, Berlin state election produced preliminary results placing the CDU at 18.8 percent of the second vote, yielding a projected 28–34 seats in the 130-member Abgeordnetenhaus under the state’s personalized proportional system with overhang and leveling mandates. This outcome aligned closely with final pre-election surveys showing the party in the low twenties amid losses for the prior CDU-SPD coalition and gains for Die Linke and the AfD. Traders have converged on the 30–34 band because the published tallies and seat-allocation models leave little room for material revision once the full count and any minor adjustments for invalid ballots are complete. Only an unusually large discrepancy between preliminary and final figures or a successful legal challenge to district results could shift the total outside this interval.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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