Recent polls place the Greens at 16-17 percent ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election, reflecting a fragmented field where the Left leads at around 20-22 percent, followed closely by the CDU and AfD near 18 percent each and the SPD trailing near 12-13 percent. Trader consensus in the 17-20 percent and 14-17 percent ranges aligns with this stability amid low overall government satisfaction and shifting coalition preferences. The Greens remain competitive for potential red-green-red or black-green-red alliances but face pressure from the Left's recent gains and broader voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD Senate. Final-week campaigning, turnout among younger and urban voters, and any late shifts on housing, energy, or state finances could determine whether support edges above or below 17 percent.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật14-17% 36%
17-20% 29%
20%+ 22%
<14% 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
<14%
17%
14-17%
36%
17-20%
29%
20%+
22%
14-17% 36%
17-20% 29%
20%+ 22%
<14% 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
<14%
$0 KL.
17%
14-17%
$50 KL.
36%
17-20%
$0 KL.
29%
20%+
$0 KL.
22%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls place the Greens at 16-17 percent ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election, reflecting a fragmented field where the Left leads at around 20-22 percent, followed closely by the CDU and AfD near 18 percent each and the SPD trailing near 12-13 percent. Trader consensus in the 17-20 percent and 14-17 percent ranges aligns with this stability amid low overall government satisfaction and shifting coalition preferences. The Greens remain competitive for potential red-green-red or black-green-red alliances but face pressure from the Left's recent gains and broader voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD Senate. Final-week campaigning, turnout among younger and urban voters, and any late shifts on housing, energy, or state finances could determine whether support edges above or below 17 percent.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ET
Khối lượng
$50Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls place the Greens at 16-17 percent ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election, reflecting a fragmented field where the Left leads at around 20-22 percent, followed closely by the CDU and AfD near 18 percent each and the SPD trailing near 12-13 percent. Trader consensus in the 17-20 percent and 14-17 percent ranges aligns with this stability amid low overall government satisfaction and shifting coalition preferences. The Greens remain competitive for potential red-green-red or black-green-red alliances but face pressure from the Left's recent gains and broader voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD Senate. Final-week campaigning, turnout among younger and urban voters, and any late shifts on housing, energy, or state finances could determine whether support edges above or below 17 percent.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Khối lượng
$50Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 2:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place the Greens at 16-17 percent ahead of the September 20 Berlin state election, reflecting a fragmented field where the Left leads at around 20-22 percent, followed closely by the CDU and AfD near 18 percent each and the SPD trailing near 12-13 percent. Trader consensus in the 17-20 percent and 14-17 percent ranges aligns with this stability amid low overall government satisfaction and shifting coalition preferences. The Greens remain competitive for potential red-green-red or black-green-red alliances but face pressure from the Left's recent gains and broader voter dissatisfaction with the incumbent CDU-SPD Senate. Final-week campaigning, turnout among younger and urban voters, and any late shifts on housing, energy, or state finances could determine whether support edges above or below 17 percent.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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