Recent opinion polls showing AfD support near 19 percent in Berlin, including one instance of a narrow lead, combined with the party's stronger national standing, have anchored trader expectations for seat totals in the mid-20s to low-30s under the state's proportional representation system. A fragmented field involving CDU, SPD, Greens, Left, and BSW limits any single party's ceiling while new eligibility rules for 16- and 17-year-olds and EU citizens add uncertainty to turnout and vote distribution. With the September 20 election five weeks away, modest shifts in mobilization, late polling movements, or coalition signaling could separate the leading ranges by altering AfD's final percentage and resulting seat allocation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật26-28 24%
32-34 23%
29-31 19%
23-25 16.9%
$12,705 KL.
$12,705 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
<20
4%
20-22
7%
23-25
17%
26-28
24%
29-31
19%
32-34
23%
35+
11%
26-28 24%
32-34 23%
29-31 19%
23-25 16.9%
$12,705 KL.
$12,705 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
<20
$1,025 KL.
4%
20-22
$3,976 KL.
7%
23-25
$1,347 KL.
17%
26-28
$2,110 KL.
24%
29-31
$424 KL.
19%
32-34
$286 KL.
23%
35+
$3,537 KL.
11%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent opinion polls showing AfD support near 19 percent in Berlin, including one instance of a narrow lead, combined with the party's stronger national standing, have anchored trader expectations for seat totals in the mid-20s to low-30s under the state's proportional representation system. A fragmented field involving CDU, SPD, Greens, Left, and BSW limits any single party's ceiling while new eligibility rules for 16- and 17-year-olds and EU citizens add uncertainty to turnout and vote distribution. With the September 20 election five weeks away, modest shifts in mobilization, late polling movements, or coalition signaling could separate the leading ranges by altering AfD's final percentage and resulting seat allocation.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$12,705Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent opinion polls showing AfD support near 19 percent in Berlin, including one instance of a narrow lead, combined with the party's stronger national standing, have anchored trader expectations for seat totals in the mid-20s to low-30s under the state's proportional representation system. A fragmented field involving CDU, SPD, Greens, Left, and BSW limits any single party's ceiling while new eligibility rules for 16- and 17-year-olds and EU citizens add uncertainty to turnout and vote distribution. With the September 20 election five weeks away, modest shifts in mobilization, late polling movements, or coalition signaling could separate the leading ranges by altering AfD's final percentage and resulting seat allocation.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Khối lượng
$12,705Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls showing AfD support near 19 percent in Berlin, including one instance of a narrow lead, combined with the party's stronger national standing, have anchored trader expectations for seat totals in the mid-20s to low-30s under the state's proportional representation system. A fragmented field involving CDU, SPD, Greens, Left, and BSW limits any single party's ceiling while new eligibility rules for 16- and 17-year-olds and EU citizens add uncertainty to turnout and vote distribution. With the September 20 election five weeks away, modest shifts in mobilization, late polling movements, or coalition signaling could separate the leading ranges by altering AfD's final percentage and resulting seat allocation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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