Recent polls for Berlin's September 20 state election show a fragmented field with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 16 and 22 percent, leaving third place highly sensitive to small shifts. Linke gains in summer surveys have frequently placed it first or second, compressing the contest among the next three parties and sustaining trader probabilities near 30-35 percent for AfD or Grüne in that slot. CDU support has held steadier but trails in several aggregates. The 5 percent threshold and undecided voters add volatility, while upcoming debates and any late movement in turnout among urban or eastern districts could reorder the middle rankings before election night.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAfD 35%
Grüne 29%
CDU 25%
Linke 10%
$22,608 KL.
$22,608 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
35%
Grüne
29%
CDU
25%
Linke
10%
SPD
9%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 35%
Grüne 29%
CDU 25%
Linke 10%
$22,608 KL.
$22,608 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
$5,435 KL.
35%
Grüne
$3,681 KL.
29%
CDU
$5,639 KL.
25%
Linke
$4,578 KL.
10%
SPD
$1,268 KL.
9%
FDP
$674 KL.
<1%
FW
$582 KL.
<1%
BSW
$750 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls for Berlin's September 20 state election show a fragmented field with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 16 and 22 percent, leaving third place highly sensitive to small shifts. Linke gains in summer surveys have frequently placed it first or second, compressing the contest among the next three parties and sustaining trader probabilities near 30-35 percent for AfD or Grüne in that slot. CDU support has held steadier but trails in several aggregates. The 5 percent threshold and undecided voters add volatility, while upcoming debates and any late movement in turnout among urban or eastern districts could reorder the middle rankings before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Thị trường mở: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$22,608Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls for Berlin's September 20 state election show a fragmented field with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 16 and 22 percent, leaving third place highly sensitive to small shifts. Linke gains in summer surveys have frequently placed it first or second, compressing the contest among the next three parties and sustaining trader probabilities near 30-35 percent for AfD or Grüne in that slot. CDU support has held steadier but trails in several aggregates. The 5 percent threshold and undecided voters add volatility, while upcoming debates and any late movement in turnout among urban or eastern districts could reorder the middle rankings before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Khối lượng
$22,608Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Berlin's September 20 state election show a fragmented field with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 16 and 22 percent, leaving third place highly sensitive to small shifts. Linke gains in summer surveys have frequently placed it first or second, compressing the contest among the next three parties and sustaining trader probabilities near 30-35 percent for AfD or Grüne in that slot. CDU support has held steadier but trails in several aggregates. The 5 percent threshold and undecided voters add volatility, while upcoming debates and any late movement in turnout among urban or eastern districts could reorder the middle rankings before election night.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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