Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader expectations for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 presidential first round. As the Liberal Party nominee endorsed by his imprisoned father Jair Bolsonaro, he consolidates right-wing support against incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party. Recent Quaest polling shows Lula at 39 percent and Flávio at 33 percent, with all other declared candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos—remaining in low single digits. This positioning reflects sustained consolidation of conservative voters behind the Bolsonaro name ahead of the first-round vote on October 4.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFlávio Bolsonaro 62%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 15%
Renan Santos 5.9%
Romeu Zema 5.5%
$3,520,257 KL.
$3,520,257 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Flávio Bolsonaro
62%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
15%
Renan Santos
6%
Romeu Zema
6%
Michelle Bolsonaro
3%
Fernando Haddad
3%
Camilo Santana
2%
Tereza Cristina
1%
Geraldo Alckmin
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Flávio Bolsonaro 62%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 15%
Renan Santos 5.9%
Romeu Zema 5.5%
$3,520,257 KL.
$3,520,257 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Flávio Bolsonaro
$56,378 KL.
62%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$67,122 KL.
15%
Renan Santos
$994,837 KL.
6%
Romeu Zema
$256,340 KL.
6%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$71,817 KL.
3%
Fernando Haddad
$651,213 KL.
3%
Camilo Santana
$56,008 KL.
2%
Tereza Cristina
$2,848 KL.
1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$123,364 KL.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$288,325 KL.
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$111,040 KL.
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
$642,631 KL.
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
$29,825 KL.
<1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$48,401 KL.
<1%
Helder Barbalho
$2,246 KL.
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$77,363 KL.
<1%
Eduardo Leite
$40,500 KL.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader expectations for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 presidential first round. As the Liberal Party nominee endorsed by his imprisoned father Jair Bolsonaro, he consolidates right-wing support against incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party. Recent Quaest polling shows Lula at 39 percent and Flávio at 33 percent, with all other declared candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos—remaining in low single digits. This positioning reflects sustained consolidation of conservative voters behind the Bolsonaro name ahead of the first-round vote on October 4.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Thị trường mở: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,520,257Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader expectations for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 presidential first round. As the Liberal Party nominee endorsed by his imprisoned father Jair Bolsonaro, he consolidates right-wing support against incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party. Recent Quaest polling shows Lula at 39 percent and Flávio at 33 percent, with all other declared candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos—remaining in low single digits. This positioning reflects sustained consolidation of conservative voters behind the Bolsonaro name ahead of the first-round vote on October 4.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Khối lượng
$3,520,257Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader expectations for second place in Brazil’s October 2026 presidential first round. As the Liberal Party nominee endorsed by his imprisoned father Jair Bolsonaro, he consolidates right-wing support against incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party. Recent Quaest polling shows Lula at 39 percent and Flávio at 33 percent, with all other declared candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos—remaining in low single digits. This positioning reflects sustained consolidation of conservative voters behind the Bolsonaro name ahead of the first-round vote on October 4.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp