Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor of Pernambuco, leads polls ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, with recent surveys from Quaest (44% vs. 36%), Datafolha (47% vs. 40%), and Simplex (46% vs. 36%) showing her ahead of João Campos (PSB). Her approval ratings stand at 63-68%, reflecting gains from infrastructure, security, and education initiatives that have converted into voter support, particularly in the interior. Campos, backed by President Lula, maintains strength in Recife but trails after earlier leads narrowed post-campaign launch in mid-August. Minor candidates like Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register under 2%. The market's implied probabilities track these trends and the advantages of incumbency in a polarized contest with over a month until voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRaquel Lyra 68%
João Campos 34%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$32,723 KL.
$32,723 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Raquel Lyra
68%
João Campos
34%
Ivan Moraes
<1%
Raquel Lyra 68%
João Campos 34%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$32,723 KL.
$32,723 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Raquel Lyra
$15,109 KL.
68%
João Campos
$14,539 KL.
34%
Ivan Moraes
$3,075 KL.
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor of Pernambuco, leads polls ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, with recent surveys from Quaest (44% vs. 36%), Datafolha (47% vs. 40%), and Simplex (46% vs. 36%) showing her ahead of João Campos (PSB). Her approval ratings stand at 63-68%, reflecting gains from infrastructure, security, and education initiatives that have converted into voter support, particularly in the interior. Campos, backed by President Lula, maintains strength in Recife but trails after earlier leads narrowed post-campaign launch in mid-August. Minor candidates like Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register under 2%. The market's implied probabilities track these trends and the advantages of incumbency in a polarized contest with over a month until voting.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$32,723Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor of Pernambuco, leads polls ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, with recent surveys from Quaest (44% vs. 36%), Datafolha (47% vs. 40%), and Simplex (46% vs. 36%) showing her ahead of João Campos (PSB). Her approval ratings stand at 63-68%, reflecting gains from infrastructure, security, and education initiatives that have converted into voter support, particularly in the interior. Campos, backed by President Lula, maintains strength in Recife but trails after earlier leads narrowed post-campaign launch in mid-August. Minor candidates like Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register under 2%. The market's implied probabilities track these trends and the advantages of incumbency in a polarized contest with over a month until voting.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$32,723Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Raquel Lyra (PSD), the incumbent governor of Pernambuco, leads polls ahead of the October 2026 first-round vote, with recent surveys from Quaest (44% vs. 36%), Datafolha (47% vs. 40%), and Simplex (46% vs. 36%) showing her ahead of João Campos (PSB). Her approval ratings stand at 63-68%, reflecting gains from infrastructure, security, and education initiatives that have converted into voter support, particularly in the interior. Campos, backed by President Lula, maintains strength in Recife but trails after earlier leads narrowed post-campaign launch in mid-August. Minor candidates like Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register under 2%. The market's implied probabilities track these trends and the advantages of incumbency in a polarized contest with over a month until voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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