The 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial race remains fragmented early in the cycle, with multiple pre-candidates dividing voter intentions and leaving substantial undecided shares in recent surveys. Incumbent Fábio Mitidieri (PSD) holds a polling edge in stimulated scenarios around 39-46 percent, yet Valmir de Francisquinho, Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho and others register meaningful support that keeps implied probabilities clustered near 38-40 percent on Polymarket. Limited formal candidacies, absence of major runoff thresholds crossed, and ongoing party negotiations sustain the tight trader consensus. Separation could emerge from primary consolidations, large-scale endorsements, or the first televised debates that clarify voter preferences before October balloting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDr. Helton 41%
Ricardo Marques 41%
Taty Cristina de Jesus 41%
Valmir de Francisquinho 41%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Helton
41%
Ricardo Marques
41%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
41%
Valmir de Francisquinho
41%
Fábio
38%
Emanuel Cacho
37%
Dr. Helton 41%
Ricardo Marques 41%
Taty Cristina de Jesus 41%
Valmir de Francisquinho 41%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Helton
$0 KL.
41%
Ricardo Marques
$0 KL.
41%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
$0 KL.
41%
Valmir de Francisquinho
$0 KL.
41%
Fábio
$0 KL.
38%
Emanuel Cacho
$69 KL.
37%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial race remains fragmented early in the cycle, with multiple pre-candidates dividing voter intentions and leaving substantial undecided shares in recent surveys. Incumbent Fábio Mitidieri (PSD) holds a polling edge in stimulated scenarios around 39-46 percent, yet Valmir de Francisquinho, Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho and others register meaningful support that keeps implied probabilities clustered near 38-40 percent on Polymarket. Limited formal candidacies, absence of major runoff thresholds crossed, and ongoing party negotiations sustain the tight trader consensus. Separation could emerge from primary consolidations, large-scale endorsements, or the first televised debates that clarify voter preferences before October balloting.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Khối lượng
$69Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial race remains fragmented early in the cycle, with multiple pre-candidates dividing voter intentions and leaving substantial undecided shares in recent surveys. Incumbent Fábio Mitidieri (PSD) holds a polling edge in stimulated scenarios around 39-46 percent, yet Valmir de Francisquinho, Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho and others register meaningful support that keeps implied probabilities clustered near 38-40 percent on Polymarket. Limited formal candidacies, absence of major runoff thresholds crossed, and ongoing party negotiations sustain the tight trader consensus. Separation could emerge from primary consolidations, large-scale endorsements, or the first televised debates that clarify voter preferences before October balloting.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$69Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial race remains fragmented early in the cycle, with multiple pre-candidates dividing voter intentions and leaving substantial undecided shares in recent surveys. Incumbent Fábio Mitidieri (PSD) holds a polling edge in stimulated scenarios around 39-46 percent, yet Valmir de Francisquinho, Ricardo Marques, Emanuel Cacho and others register meaningful support that keeps implied probabilities clustered near 38-40 percent on Polymarket. Limited formal candidacies, absence of major runoff thresholds crossed, and ongoing party negotiations sustain the tight trader consensus. Separation could emerge from primary consolidations, large-scale endorsements, or the first televised debates that clarify voter preferences before October balloting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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