Lula maintains a commanding lead in Alagoas for first place in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election first round, as reflected in trader consensus. Recent state-level polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows the incumbent consistently ahead of main challenger Flávio Bolsonaro by double-digit margins, with Lula at 44-50% and Flávio at 29-37%. Other tested names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos register in the low single digits or below. This positioning aligns with Lula’s longstanding support base in the Northeast region. Upcoming national polling releases and any shifts in local campaign dynamics ahead of the October vote could influence probabilities, though current evidence points to limited volatility in the state.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLula 97.5%
Flavio Bolsonaro 3.7%
Zema <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
$14,225 KL.
$14,225 KL.
Jun 30, 2027
Lula
98%
Flavio Bolsonaro
4%
Zema
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Samara
<1%
Lula 97.5%
Flavio Bolsonaro 3.7%
Zema <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
$14,225 KL.
$14,225 KL.
Jun 30, 2027
Lula
$7,306 KL.
98%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$608 KL.
4%
Zema
$527 KL.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$602 KL.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$592 KL.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$592 KL.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$598 KL.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$602 KL.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$598 KL.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$629 KL.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$592 KL.
<1%
Renan Santos
$486 KL.
<1%
Samara
$491 KL.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Alagoas for first place in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election first round, as reflected in trader consensus. Recent state-level polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows the incumbent consistently ahead of main challenger Flávio Bolsonaro by double-digit margins, with Lula at 44-50% and Flávio at 29-37%. Other tested names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos register in the low single digits or below. This positioning aligns with Lula’s longstanding support base in the Northeast region. Upcoming national polling releases and any shifts in local campaign dynamics ahead of the October vote could influence probabilities, though current evidence points to limited volatility in the state.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$14,225Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Alagoas for first place in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election first round, as reflected in trader consensus. Recent state-level polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows the incumbent consistently ahead of main challenger Flávio Bolsonaro by double-digit margins, with Lula at 44-50% and Flávio at 29-37%. Other tested names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos register in the low single digits or below. This positioning aligns with Lula’s longstanding support base in the Northeast region. Upcoming national polling releases and any shifts in local campaign dynamics ahead of the October vote could influence probabilities, though current evidence points to limited volatility in the state.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Alagoas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Alagoas.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Alagoas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Khối lượng
$14,225Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Alagoas for first place in the 2026 Brazilian presidential election first round, as reflected in trader consensus. Recent state-level polling from institutes including Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel shows the incumbent consistently ahead of main challenger Flávio Bolsonaro by double-digit margins, with Lula at 44-50% and Flávio at 29-37%. Other tested names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos register in the low single digits or below. This positioning aligns with Lula’s longstanding support base in the Northeast region. Upcoming national polling releases and any shifts in local campaign dynamics ahead of the October vote could influence probabilities, though current evidence points to limited volatility in the state.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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