Lula holds a commanding position in Sergipe for the October 2026 first round, reflecting the state's longstanding support for Workers' Party candidates in Brazil's Northeast. Incumbency advantages, expanded social programs, and regional economic priorities have reinforced voter alignment ahead of the vote. Recent national polling shows Lula at roughly 40% in simulated first-round scenarios, with opposition figures like Flávio Bolsonaro trailing, though Sergipe's demographics amplify this edge beyond national averages. Trader consensus at 94% for Lula accounts for limited local opposition momentum and the absence of major recent disruptions to his base. A late surge by right-leaning challengers or shifts in turnout among key voting blocs could narrow the margin, but current conditions point to sustained dominance in the state.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLula 94%
Clariana Barao 49%
Edmilson Costa 49%
Escritor Augusto Cury 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
94%
Clariana Barao
49%
Edmilson Costa
49%
Escritor Augusto Cury
49%
Flavio Bolsonaro
49%
Hertz Dias
49%
Pablo Marçal
49%
Renan Santos
49%
Ronaldo Caiado
49%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Samara
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Zema
1%
Lula 94%
Clariana Barao 49%
Edmilson Costa 49%
Escritor Augusto Cury 49%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$37 KL.
94%
Clariana Barao
$5 KL.
49%
Edmilson Costa
$5 KL.
49%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$5 KL.
49%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$5 KL.
49%
Hertz Dias
$5 KL.
49%
Pablo Marçal
$5 KL.
49%
Renan Santos
$5 KL.
49%
Ronaldo Caiado
$5 KL.
49%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$5 KL.
1%
Samara
$5 KL.
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$5 KL.
1%
Zema
$5 KL.
1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding position in Sergipe for the October 2026 first round, reflecting the state's longstanding support for Workers' Party candidates in Brazil's Northeast. Incumbency advantages, expanded social programs, and regional economic priorities have reinforced voter alignment ahead of the vote. Recent national polling shows Lula at roughly 40% in simulated first-round scenarios, with opposition figures like Flávio Bolsonaro trailing, though Sergipe's demographics amplify this edge beyond national averages. Trader consensus at 94% for Lula accounts for limited local opposition momentum and the absence of major recent disruptions to his base. A late surge by right-leaning challengers or shifts in turnout among key voting blocs could narrow the margin, but current conditions point to sustained dominance in the state.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
Khối lượng
$97Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula holds a commanding position in Sergipe for the October 2026 first round, reflecting the state's longstanding support for Workers' Party candidates in Brazil's Northeast. Incumbency advantages, expanded social programs, and regional economic priorities have reinforced voter alignment ahead of the vote. Recent national polling shows Lula at roughly 40% in simulated first-round scenarios, with opposition figures like Flávio Bolsonaro trailing, though Sergipe's demographics amplify this edge beyond national averages. Trader consensus at 94% for Lula accounts for limited local opposition momentum and the absence of major recent disruptions to his base. A late surge by right-leaning challengers or shifts in turnout among key voting blocs could narrow the margin, but current conditions point to sustained dominance in the state.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Khối lượng
$97Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula holds a commanding position in Sergipe for the October 2026 first round, reflecting the state's longstanding support for Workers' Party candidates in Brazil's Northeast. Incumbency advantages, expanded social programs, and regional economic priorities have reinforced voter alignment ahead of the vote. Recent national polling shows Lula at roughly 40% in simulated first-round scenarios, with opposition figures like Flávio Bolsonaro trailing, though Sergipe's demographics amplify this edge beyond national averages. Trader consensus at 94% for Lula accounts for limited local opposition momentum and the absence of major recent disruptions to his base. A late surge by right-leaning challengers or shifts in turnout among key voting blocs could narrow the margin, but current conditions point to sustained dominance in the state.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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