Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding 93% implied probability of finishing first in Roraima's presidential first round on October 4, reflecting the state's entrenched support for the Liberal Party (PL) and Bolsonarismo. Roraima delivered strong backing to Jair Bolsonaro in 2022, and the senator's candidacy—formalized at the July 2026 PL convention with his father's endorsement—benefits from family loyalty, local allies such as Senate contender Hélio Lopes, and alignment with regional priorities like agriculture and security. National polling shows Flávio narrowing gaps with Lula, but Roraima's voter base amplifies his edge. A late scandal, major policy reversal on Amazon issues, or unexpected surge by another right-wing contender could narrow the lead, though structural barriers remain high absent dramatic shifts before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFlavio Bolsonaro 93.1%
Lula 1.6%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
93%
Lula
2%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Zema
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 93.1%
Lula 1.6%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$2,792 KL.
93%
Lula
$487 KL.
2%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$334 KL.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$413 KL.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$444 KL.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$366 KL.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$407 KL.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$363 KL.
<1%
Renan Santos
$363 KL.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$363 KL.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$331 KL.
<1%
Samara
$333 KL.
<1%
Zema
$327 KL.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding 93% implied probability of finishing first in Roraima's presidential first round on October 4, reflecting the state's entrenched support for the Liberal Party (PL) and Bolsonarismo. Roraima delivered strong backing to Jair Bolsonaro in 2022, and the senator's candidacy—formalized at the July 2026 PL convention with his father's endorsement—benefits from family loyalty, local allies such as Senate contender Hélio Lopes, and alignment with regional priorities like agriculture and security. National polling shows Flávio narrowing gaps with Lula, but Roraima's voter base amplifies his edge. A late scandal, major policy reversal on Amazon issues, or unexpected surge by another right-wing contender could narrow the lead, though structural barriers remain high absent dramatic shifts before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,326Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding 93% implied probability of finishing first in Roraima's presidential first round on October 4, reflecting the state's entrenched support for the Liberal Party (PL) and Bolsonarismo. Roraima delivered strong backing to Jair Bolsonaro in 2022, and the senator's candidacy—formalized at the July 2026 PL convention with his father's endorsement—benefits from family loyalty, local allies such as Senate contender Hélio Lopes, and alignment with regional priorities like agriculture and security. National polling shows Flávio narrowing gaps with Lula, but Roraima's voter base amplifies his edge. A late scandal, major policy reversal on Amazon issues, or unexpected surge by another right-wing contender could narrow the lead, though structural barriers remain high absent dramatic shifts before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Khối lượng
$7,326Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding 93% implied probability of finishing first in Roraima's presidential first round on October 4, reflecting the state's entrenched support for the Liberal Party (PL) and Bolsonarismo. Roraima delivered strong backing to Jair Bolsonaro in 2022, and the senator's candidacy—formalized at the July 2026 PL convention with his father's endorsement—benefits from family loyalty, local allies such as Senate contender Hélio Lopes, and alignment with regional priorities like agriculture and security. National polling shows Flávio narrowing gaps with Lula, but Roraima's voter base amplifies his edge. A late scandal, major policy reversal on Amazon issues, or unexpected surge by another right-wing contender could narrow the lead, though structural barriers remain high absent dramatic shifts before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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