Recent polling from July 2026 shows Rayssa Furlan holding a strong lead for first place in the Amapá Senate contest, leaving a fragmented field for second. Lucas Barreto, Randolfe Rodrigues, Acácio Favacho, Alliny Serrão, and João Capiberibe remain closely bunched in the low-to-mid 30s in stimulated scenarios, with margins inside the survey error. Candidate registration closed on August 15, locking in the slate without major last-minute withdrawals or alliances that might consolidate support. The two-seat structure, combined with multiple parties fielding competitive names and limited differentiation on key state issues, sustains the tight trader consensus around second place. Late campaign events, coalition endorsements, or shifts in turnout among undecided voters could separate contenders before the October 4 election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAmapá Senate Election: 2nd Place
Rayssa Furlan 45%
Helio Silva 40%
Randolfe 39%
Acácio Favacho 38%

Rayssa Furlan
45%

Helio Silva
40%

Randolfe
39%

Acácio Favacho
38%

Lucas Barreto
37%

Alliny Serrão
36%

Capi
35%

Juíza Jô
34%

Professor Uzian Pinto
33%
Rayssa Furlan 45%
Helio Silva 40%
Randolfe 39%
Acácio Favacho 38%

Rayssa Furlan
45%

Helio Silva
40%

Randolfe
39%

Acácio Favacho
38%

Lucas Barreto
37%

Alliny Serrão
36%

Capi
35%

Juíza Jô
34%

Professor Uzian Pinto
33%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from July 2026 shows Rayssa Furlan holding a strong lead for first place in the Amapá Senate contest, leaving a fragmented field for second. Lucas Barreto, Randolfe Rodrigues, Acácio Favacho, Alliny Serrão, and João Capiberibe remain closely bunched in the low-to-mid 30s in stimulated scenarios, with margins inside the survey error. Candidate registration closed on August 15, locking in the slate without major last-minute withdrawals or alliances that might consolidate support. The two-seat structure, combined with multiple parties fielding competitive names and limited differentiation on key state issues, sustains the tight trader consensus around second place. Late campaign events, coalition endorsements, or shifts in turnout among undecided voters could separate contenders before the October 4 election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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