Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Ciro Gomes at 63.5% implied probability to win the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, driven by consistent leads in recent polls like Datafolha (47% vs. incumbent Elmano de Freitas' 32% in March), Veritá (54% valid in late April), and Genial/Quaest (ahead of Elmano in April), where he dominates runoffs. His May 11 announcement confirming the PSDB candidacy over a presidential bid solidified frontrunner status, leveraging strong name recognition as former governor against the PT's reelection bid amid mixed PT matchups. Elmano trails at 22.5% despite incumbency, with Eduardo Girão at 7% reflecting right-wing fragmentation; Camilo Santana's decline shifted focus back to Elmano. Upcoming official launch on May 16 could further shape dynamics in this first-round contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 64%
Elmano de Freitas 22%
Camilo Santana 6.1%
Eduardo Girão 3.6%
$53,150 KL.
$53,150 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
64%
Elmano de Freitas
22%
Camilo Santana
9%
Eduardo Girão
7%
Roberto Cláudio
2%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 64%
Elmano de Freitas 22%
Camilo Santana 6.1%
Eduardo Girão 3.6%
$53,150 KL.
$53,150 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$35,966 KL.
64%
Elmano de Freitas
$5,633 KL.
22%
Camilo Santana
$2,887 KL.
9%
Eduardo Girão
$3,074 KL.
7%
Roberto Cláudio
$1,784 KL.
2%
Capitão Wagner
$3,805 KL.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Ciro Gomes at 63.5% implied probability to win the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, driven by consistent leads in recent polls like Datafolha (47% vs. incumbent Elmano de Freitas' 32% in March), Veritá (54% valid in late April), and Genial/Quaest (ahead of Elmano in April), where he dominates runoffs. His May 11 announcement confirming the PSDB candidacy over a presidential bid solidified frontrunner status, leveraging strong name recognition as former governor against the PT's reelection bid amid mixed PT matchups. Elmano trails at 22.5% despite incumbency, with Eduardo Girão at 7% reflecting right-wing fragmentation; Camilo Santana's decline shifted focus back to Elmano. Upcoming official launch on May 16 could further shape dynamics in this first-round contest.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Khối lượng
$53,150Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Ciro Gomes at 63.5% implied probability to win the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, driven by consistent leads in recent polls like Datafolha (47% vs. incumbent Elmano de Freitas' 32% in March), Veritá (54% valid in late April), and Genial/Quaest (ahead of Elmano in April), where he dominates runoffs. His May 11 announcement confirming the PSDB candidacy over a presidential bid solidified frontrunner status, leveraging strong name recognition as former governor against the PT's reelection bid amid mixed PT matchups. Elmano trails at 22.5% despite incumbency, with Eduardo Girão at 7% reflecting right-wing fragmentation; Camilo Santana's decline shifted focus back to Elmano. Upcoming official launch on May 16 could further shape dynamics in this first-round contest.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$53,150Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Ciro Gomes at 63.5% implied probability to win the Ceará gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, driven by consistent leads in recent polls like Datafolha (47% vs. incumbent Elmano de Freitas' 32% in March), Veritá (54% valid in late April), and Genial/Quaest (ahead of Elmano in April), where he dominates runoffs. His May 11 announcement confirming the PSDB candidacy over a presidential bid solidified frontrunner status, leveraging strong name recognition as former governor against the PT's reelection bid amid mixed PT matchups. Elmano trails at 22.5% despite incumbency, with Eduardo Girão at 7% reflecting right-wing fragmentation; Camilo Santana's decline shifted focus back to Elmano. Upcoming official launch on May 16 could further shape dynamics in this first-round contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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