Eduardo Braide maintains a polling edge in recent surveys for the 2026 Maranhão gubernatorial race, yet Orleans Brandão and a fragmented field keep implied probabilities tight around 44% and 36% respectively. Internal divisions within the left, including tensions between the Workers’ Party and outgoing governor Carlos Brandão’s MDB base, have complicated coalition-building ahead of first-round voting. Multiple polling firms show Braide ahead in most simulated ballots, while Brandão consolidates support among state machinery allies. Further candidate withdrawals, formal alliance announcements, or shifts in federal backing could widen gaps before October, as the race remains sensitive to turnout patterns in key municipalities and late-stage realignments among smaller parties.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEduardo Braide 45%
Orleans Brandão 36%
Lahesio Bonfim 11%
Felipe Camarão 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 5, 2026
Eduardo Braide
45%
Orleans Brandão
36%
Lahesio Bonfim
11%
Felipe Camarão
9%
Enilton Rodrigues
6%
André Luís
4%
Eduardo Braide 45%
Orleans Brandão 36%
Lahesio Bonfim 11%
Felipe Camarão 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 5, 2026
Eduardo Braide
$544 KL.
45%
Orleans Brandão
$69 KL.
36%
Lahesio Bonfim
$68 KL.
11%
Felipe Camarão
$64 KL.
9%
Enilton Rodrigues
$275 KL.
6%
André Luís
$169 KL.
4%
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide maintains a polling edge in recent surveys for the 2026 Maranhão gubernatorial race, yet Orleans Brandão and a fragmented field keep implied probabilities tight around 44% and 36% respectively. Internal divisions within the left, including tensions between the Workers’ Party and outgoing governor Carlos Brandão’s MDB base, have complicated coalition-building ahead of first-round voting. Multiple polling firms show Braide ahead in most simulated ballots, while Brandão consolidates support among state machinery allies. Further candidate withdrawals, formal alliance announcements, or shifts in federal backing could widen gaps before October, as the race remains sensitive to turnout patterns in key municipalities and late-stage realignments among smaller parties.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,189Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braide maintains a polling edge in recent surveys for the 2026 Maranhão gubernatorial race, yet Orleans Brandão and a fragmented field keep implied probabilities tight around 44% and 36% respectively. Internal divisions within the left, including tensions between the Workers’ Party and outgoing governor Carlos Brandão’s MDB base, have complicated coalition-building ahead of first-round voting. Multiple polling firms show Braide ahead in most simulated ballots, while Brandão consolidates support among state machinery allies. Further candidate withdrawals, formal alliance announcements, or shifts in federal backing could widen gaps before October, as the race remains sensitive to turnout patterns in key municipalities and late-stage realignments among smaller parties.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$1,189Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braide maintains a polling edge in recent surveys for the 2026 Maranhão gubernatorial race, yet Orleans Brandão and a fragmented field keep implied probabilities tight around 44% and 36% respectively. Internal divisions within the left, including tensions between the Workers’ Party and outgoing governor Carlos Brandão’s MDB base, have complicated coalition-building ahead of first-round voting. Multiple polling firms show Braide ahead in most simulated ballots, while Brandão consolidates support among state machinery allies. Further candidate withdrawals, formal alliance announcements, or shifts in federal backing could widen gaps before October, as the race remains sensitive to turnout patterns in key municipalities and late-stage realignments among smaller parties.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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