Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina, maintains a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, first-round contest, with recent polls showing him at 49-66% against a fragmented field led by João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB). His position stems from consistent double-digit margins in surveys throughout the campaign, strong backing from the state's conservative electorate, and visible activities including meetings with industry groups where he pledged no tax increases while highlighting infrastructure and health investments. The opposition's divided support reduces prospects for a unified challenge or runoff upset. Trader consensus prices reflect these fundamentals, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen events could still influence final results before voting concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJorginho Mello 97.8%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.7%
João Rodrigues <1%
Gelson Merisio <1%
$125,240 KL.
$125,240 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Jorginho Mello
98%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
2%
João Rodrigues
1%
Gelson Merisio
1%
Décio Lima
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
<1%
Marcos Vieira
<1%
Adriano Silva
<1%
Jorginho Mello 97.8%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 1.7%
João Rodrigues <1%
Gelson Merisio <1%
$125,240 KL.
$125,240 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Jorginho Mello
$31,111 KL.
98%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
$16,041 KL.
2%
João Rodrigues
$3,040 KL.
1%
Gelson Merisio
$3,128 KL.
1%
Décio Lima
$64,425 KL.
<1%
Afrânio Boppré
$2,765 KL.
<1%
Marcos Vieira
$2,556 KL.
<1%
Adriano Silva
$2,175 KL.
<1%
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina, maintains a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, first-round contest, with recent polls showing him at 49-66% against a fragmented field led by João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB). His position stems from consistent double-digit margins in surveys throughout the campaign, strong backing from the state's conservative electorate, and visible activities including meetings with industry groups where he pledged no tax increases while highlighting infrastructure and health investments. The opposition's divided support reduces prospects for a unified challenge or runoff upset. Trader consensus prices reflect these fundamentals, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen events could still influence final results before voting concludes.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Khối lượng
$125,240Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina, maintains a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, first-round contest, with recent polls showing him at 49-66% against a fragmented field led by João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB). His position stems from consistent double-digit margins in surveys throughout the campaign, strong backing from the state's conservative electorate, and visible activities including meetings with industry groups where he pledged no tax increases while highlighting infrastructure and health investments. The opposition's divided support reduces prospects for a unified challenge or runoff upset. Trader consensus prices reflect these fundamentals, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen events could still influence final results before voting concludes.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$125,240Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Jorginho Mello (PL), the incumbent governor of Santa Catarina, maintains a commanding lead in the October 4, 2026, first-round contest, with recent polls showing him at 49-66% against a fragmented field led by João Rodrigues (PSD) and Gelson Merísio (PSB). His position stems from consistent double-digit margins in surveys throughout the campaign, strong backing from the state's conservative electorate, and visible activities including meetings with industry groups where he pledged no tax increases while highlighting infrastructure and health investments. The opposition's divided support reduces prospects for a unified challenge or runoff upset. Trader consensus prices reflect these fundamentals, though late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen events could still influence final results before voting concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp