Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election in the October 2026 vote, holds overwhelming trader consensus at 91% due to consistent double-digit leads in recent June polls, including 57-68% first-round support across Futura Inteligência and Veritá surveys. His position stems from strong approval ratings tied to state economic performance and security policies since 2022, plus recent endorsements such as the PSDB state executive's unanimous backing and positioning as the primary right-wing option by PL allies. A fragmented opposition field, with figures like João Rodrigues and Gelson Merisio polling in the low teens or below, further reinforces the gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp economic reversal could still alter the trajectory before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJorginho Mello 91%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 6%
João Rodrigues 2.4%
Afrânio Boppré 2.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Jorginho Mello
91%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
6%
João Rodrigues
2%
Afrânio Boppré
2%
Gelson Merisio
1%
Décio Lima
1%
Adriano Silva
1%
Marcos Vieira
<1%
Jorginho Mello 91%
Marcelo Brigadeiro 6%
João Rodrigues 2.4%
Afrânio Boppré 2.3%
MỚI
MỚI
Jorginho Mello
$4,931 KL.
91%
Marcelo Brigadeiro
$1,051 KL.
6%
João Rodrigues
$365 KL.
2%
Afrânio Boppré
$445 KL.
2%
Gelson Merisio
$542 KL.
1%
Décio Lima
$511 KL.
1%
Adriano Silva
$403 KL.
1%
Marcos Vieira
$461 KL.
<1%
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election in the October 2026 vote, holds overwhelming trader consensus at 91% due to consistent double-digit leads in recent June polls, including 57-68% first-round support across Futura Inteligência and Veritá surveys. His position stems from strong approval ratings tied to state economic performance and security policies since 2022, plus recent endorsements such as the PSDB state executive's unanimous backing and positioning as the primary right-wing option by PL allies. A fragmented opposition field, with figures like João Rodrigues and Gelson Merisio polling in the low teens or below, further reinforces the gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp economic reversal could still alter the trajectory before election day.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,708Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election in the October 2026 vote, holds overwhelming trader consensus at 91% due to consistent double-digit leads in recent June polls, including 57-68% first-round support across Futura Inteligência and Veritá surveys. His position stems from strong approval ratings tied to state economic performance and security policies since 2022, plus recent endorsements such as the PSDB state executive's unanimous backing and positioning as the primary right-wing option by PL allies. A fragmented opposition field, with figures like João Rodrigues and Gelson Merisio polling in the low teens or below, further reinforces the gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp economic reversal could still alter the trajectory before election day.
The Santa Catarina gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$8,708Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jorginho Mello, the incumbent PL governor of Santa Catarina seeking re-election in the October 2026 vote, holds overwhelming trader consensus at 91% due to consistent double-digit leads in recent June polls, including 57-68% first-round support across Futura Inteligência and Veritá surveys. His position stems from strong approval ratings tied to state economic performance and security policies since 2022, plus recent endorsements such as the PSDB state executive's unanimous backing and positioning as the primary right-wing option by PL allies. A fragmented opposition field, with figures like João Rodrigues and Gelson Merisio polling in the low teens or below, further reinforces the gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp economic reversal could still alter the trajectory before election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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