Renan Santos, the Mission Party candidate and MBL founder positioning himself as a pragmatic right-wing alternative critical of both Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, maintains single-digit support in late first-round polling ahead of the October 4 vote. Recent AtlasIntel surveys placed him near 6.5 percent overall while showing stronger youth appeal, though face-to-face Datafolha and BTG/Nexus readings have hovered around 3 percent. His candidacy received unanimous TSE approval on September 10 following a brief late-August suspension over unregistered social media profiles, restoring access to campaign funds and debates. Limited national name recognition, a small congressional footprint, and the race’s heavy polarization between the two frontrunners continue to constrain his broader reach despite active digital mobilization.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật4-6% 30%
2-4% 22%
8%+ 16%
6-8% 10.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
<2%
8%
2-4%
22%
4-6%
30%
6-8%
13%
8%+
16%
4-6% 30%
2-4% 22%
8%+ 16%
6-8% 10.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
<2%
$289 KL.
8%
2-4%
$1,053 KL.
22%
4-6%
$417 KL.
30%
6-8%
$272 KL.
13%
8%+
$1,613 KL.
16%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos, the Mission Party candidate and MBL founder positioning himself as a pragmatic right-wing alternative critical of both Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, maintains single-digit support in late first-round polling ahead of the October 4 vote. Recent AtlasIntel surveys placed him near 6.5 percent overall while showing stronger youth appeal, though face-to-face Datafolha and BTG/Nexus readings have hovered around 3 percent. His candidacy received unanimous TSE approval on September 10 following a brief late-August suspension over unregistered social media profiles, restoring access to campaign funds and debates. Limited national name recognition, a small congressional footprint, and the race’s heavy polarization between the two frontrunners continue to constrain his broader reach despite active digital mobilization.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,644Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos, the Mission Party candidate and MBL founder positioning himself as a pragmatic right-wing alternative critical of both Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, maintains single-digit support in late first-round polling ahead of the October 4 vote. Recent AtlasIntel surveys placed him near 6.5 percent overall while showing stronger youth appeal, though face-to-face Datafolha and BTG/Nexus readings have hovered around 3 percent. His candidacy received unanimous TSE approval on September 10 following a brief late-August suspension over unregistered social media profiles, restoring access to campaign funds and debates. Limited national name recognition, a small congressional footprint, and the race’s heavy polarization between the two frontrunners continue to constrain his broader reach despite active digital mobilization.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Renan Santos in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Khối lượng
$3,644Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 10:26 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Renan Santos, the Mission Party candidate and MBL founder positioning himself as a pragmatic right-wing alternative critical of both Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, maintains single-digit support in late first-round polling ahead of the October 4 vote. Recent AtlasIntel surveys placed him near 6.5 percent overall while showing stronger youth appeal, though face-to-face Datafolha and BTG/Nexus readings have hovered around 3 percent. His candidacy received unanimous TSE approval on September 10 following a brief late-August suspension over unregistered social media profiles, restoring access to campaign funds and debates. Limited national name recognition, a small congressional footprint, and the race’s heavy polarization between the two frontrunners continue to constrain his broader reach despite active digital mobilization.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
78%
Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
40%
Will Augusto Cury win 6% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
45%
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