Polymarket traders price Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation near 5.25%, with closely contested market-implied odds—5.00-5.49% at 25.7% and 5.50-5.99% at 22.4%—reflecting uncertainty over persistent above-target pressures despite Copom's recent 25 basis point Selic cut to 14.50% on April 29. April IPCA accelerated to 4.39% year-over-year, driven by food and transport costs, while the central bank's Focus survey has revised 2026 forecasts upward to 4.9% for six straight weeks amid sticky services inflation and resilient domestic demand. Key swing factors include global commodity risks from geopolitical tensions and the pace of further easing; watch May IPCA data (mid-June release) and June Copom for resolution catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật5.00-5.49% 27.3%
4.50-4.99% 23.9%
4.00-4.49% 8.2%
7.00%+ 8.1%
$57,305 KL.
$57,305 KL.
Jan 12, 2027
<3.00%
<1%
3.00-3.49%
8%
3.50-3.99%
3%
4.00-4.49%
8%
4.50-4.99%
19%
5.00-5.49%
26%
5.50-5.99%
22%
6.00-6.49%
5%
6.50-6.99%
6%
7.00%+
12%
5.00-5.49% 27.3%
4.50-4.99% 23.9%
4.00-4.49% 8.2%
7.00%+ 8.1%
$57,305 KL.
$57,305 KL.
Jan 12, 2027
<3.00%
$4,310 KL.
<1%
3.00-3.49%
$4,370 KL.
8%
3.50-3.99%
$8,996 KL.
3%
4.00-4.49%
$7,722 KL.
8%
4.50-4.99%
$7,022 KL.
19%
5.00-5.49%
$6,105 KL.
26%
5.50-5.99%
$5,695 KL.
22%
6.00-6.49%
$4,670 KL.
5%
6.50-6.99%
$4,858 KL.
6%
7.00%+
$3,556 KL.
12%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlPolymarket traders price Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation near 5.25%, with closely contested market-implied odds—5.00-5.49% at 25.7% and 5.50-5.99% at 22.4%—reflecting uncertainty over persistent above-target pressures despite Copom's recent 25 basis point Selic cut to 14.50% on April 29. April IPCA accelerated to 4.39% year-over-year, driven by food and transport costs, while the central bank's Focus survey has revised 2026 forecasts upward to 4.9% for six straight weeks amid sticky services inflation and resilient domestic demand. Key swing factors include global commodity risks from geopolitical tensions and the pace of further easing; watch May IPCA data (mid-June release) and June Copom for resolution catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Thị trường mở: Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Khối lượng
$57,305Ngày kết thúc
Jan 12, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.htmlPolymarket traders price Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation near 5.25%, with closely contested market-implied odds—5.00-5.49% at 25.7% and 5.50-5.99% at 22.4%—reflecting uncertainty over persistent above-target pressures despite Copom's recent 25 basis point Selic cut to 14.50% on April 29. April IPCA accelerated to 4.39% year-over-year, driven by food and transport costs, while the central bank's Focus survey has revised 2026 forecasts upward to 4.9% for six straight weeks amid sticky services inflation and resilient domestic demand. Key swing factors include global commodity risks from geopolitical tensions and the pace of further easing; watch May IPCA data (mid-June release) and June Copom for resolution catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.
The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (https://agenciadenoticias.ibge.gov.br/en/agencia-press-room.html), locating the Period-Rate table and finding the IPCA growth rate figure in the column labeled "Rate" and the Row labeled “Cumulative in the year / 12 Months”. Changes in the IBGE’s reporting format will not disqualify a published relevant figure from counting.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly IBGE IPCA news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to two decimal points (e.g. 4.26%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Khối lượng
$57,305Ngày kết thúc
Jan 12, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 23, 2026, 10:35 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price Brazil's 2026 annual IPCA inflation near 5.25%, with closely contested market-implied odds—5.00-5.49% at 25.7% and 5.50-5.99% at 22.4%—reflecting uncertainty over persistent above-target pressures despite Copom's recent 25 basis point Selic cut to 14.50% on April 29. April IPCA accelerated to 4.39% year-over-year, driven by food and transport costs, while the central bank's Focus survey has revised 2026 forecasts upward to 4.9% for six straight weeks amid sticky services inflation and resilient domestic demand. Key swing factors include global commodity risks from geopolitical tensions and the pace of further easing; watch May IPCA data (mid-June release) and June Copom for resolution catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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