Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 54.9% implied probability to Eurozone 2026 annual HICP inflation reaching 3.1% or higher, driven by April's flash headline rate of 3.0%—the highest since September 2023—fueled by energy price surges from geopolitical tensions and oil volatility. The ECB's second-quarter Survey of Professional Forecasters, released May 4, revised 2026 headline expectations upward to 2.7% from prior estimates, while March staff projections stood at 2.6%, reflecting persistent services inflation and wage dynamics amid meager Q1 GDP growth of 0.1%. Lower-bucketing odds like <1.0% at 16.6% capture tail risks from potential demand weakness, with full April HICP data due May 20 and the June ECB meeting as pivotal catalysts for sentiment shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEurozone Annual Inflation 2026
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+ 54.4%
2.8-3.0% 16.9%
2.2–2.4% 14.0%
<1.0% 12.8%
$12,547 KL.
$12,547 KL.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
15%
1.0–1.2%
4%
1.3–1.5%
<1%
1.6–1.8%
1%
1.9–2.1%
12%
2.2–2.4%
14%
2.5–2.7%
12%
2.8-3.0%
17%
3.1%+
54%
3.1%+ 54.4%
2.8-3.0% 16.9%
2.2–2.4% 14.0%
<1.0% 12.8%
$12,547 KL.
$12,547 KL.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
$1,069 KL.
15%
1.0–1.2%
$769 KL.
4%
1.3–1.5%
$1,910 KL.
<1%
1.6–1.8%
$1,019 KL.
1%
1.9–2.1%
$2,821 KL.
12%
2.2–2.4%
$1,021 KL.
14%
2.5–2.7%
$1,139 KL.
12%
2.8-3.0%
$635 KL.
17%
3.1%+
$2,163 KL.
54%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 54.9% implied probability to Eurozone 2026 annual HICP inflation reaching 3.1% or higher, driven by April's flash headline rate of 3.0%—the highest since September 2023—fueled by energy price surges from geopolitical tensions and oil volatility. The ECB's second-quarter Survey of Professional Forecasters, released May 4, revised 2026 headline expectations upward to 2.7% from prior estimates, while March staff projections stood at 2.6%, reflecting persistent services inflation and wage dynamics amid meager Q1 GDP growth of 0.1%. Lower-bucketing odds like <1.0% at 16.6% capture tail risks from potential demand weakness, with full April HICP data due May 20 and the June ECB meeting as pivotal catalysts for sentiment shifts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Thị trường mở: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$12,547Ngày kết thúc
Jan 19, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 54.9% implied probability to Eurozone 2026 annual HICP inflation reaching 3.1% or higher, driven by April's flash headline rate of 3.0%—the highest since September 2023—fueled by energy price surges from geopolitical tensions and oil volatility. The ECB's second-quarter Survey of Professional Forecasters, released May 4, revised 2026 headline expectations upward to 2.7% from prior estimates, while March staff projections stood at 2.6%, reflecting persistent services inflation and wage dynamics amid meager Q1 GDP growth of 0.1%. Lower-bucketing odds like <1.0% at 16.6% capture tail risks from potential demand weakness, with full April HICP data due May 20 and the June ECB meeting as pivotal catalysts for sentiment shifts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Khối lượng
$12,547Ngày kết thúc
Jan 19, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 54.9% implied probability to Eurozone 2026 annual HICP inflation reaching 3.1% or higher, driven by April's flash headline rate of 3.0%—the highest since September 2023—fueled by energy price surges from geopolitical tensions and oil volatility. The ECB's second-quarter Survey of Professional Forecasters, released May 4, revised 2026 headline expectations upward to 2.7% from prior estimates, while March staff projections stood at 2.6%, reflecting persistent services inflation and wage dynamics amid meager Q1 GDP growth of 0.1%. Lower-bucketing odds like <1.0% at 16.6% capture tail risks from potential demand weakness, with full April HICP data due May 20 and the June ECB meeting as pivotal catalysts for sentiment shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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