Polymarket traders' consensus clusters implied probabilities tightly across 30-44.9% bins for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation, with 30.0-34.9% leading at 29.8%, mirroring central bank REM survey median year-end forecasts of 30.5% and IMF projections near 30.4%. April's consumer price index rose just 2.6% month-on-month—the first slowdown in 11 months after March's 3.4% acceleration—easing annual inflation to 32.4% from 32.6%, bolstering optimism for President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. However, persistent underlying monthly trends around 2.0-2.5%, recent analyst upgrades amid oil shocks and trimmed GDP outlooks to 2.8%, sustain contention, with May CPI and peso depreciation risks (to ARS1,676/USD by December) as key swing factors.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật35–39.9% 27.2%
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
20-24.9% 20.2%
25-29.9% 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Jan 10, 2027
<20%
7%
20-24.9%
20%
25-29.9%
22%
30.0-34.9%
28%
35–39.9%
27%
40-44.9%
18%
45%+
7%
35–39.9% 27.2%
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
20-24.9% 20.2%
25-29.9% 20%
MỚI
MỚI
Jan 10, 2027
<20%
$2,516 KL.
7%
20-24.9%
$1,429 KL.
20%
25-29.9%
$1,626 KL.
22%
30.0-34.9%
$976 KL.
28%
35–39.9%
$1,094 KL.
27%
40-44.9%
$928 KL.
18%
45%+
$1,156 KL.
7%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders' consensus clusters implied probabilities tightly across 30-44.9% bins for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation, with 30.0-34.9% leading at 29.8%, mirroring central bank REM survey median year-end forecasts of 30.5% and IMF projections near 30.4%. April's consumer price index rose just 2.6% month-on-month—the first slowdown in 11 months after March's 3.4% acceleration—easing annual inflation to 32.4% from 32.6%, bolstering optimism for President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. However, persistent underlying monthly trends around 2.0-2.5%, recent analyst upgrades amid oil shocks and trimmed GDP outlooks to 2.8%, sustain contention, with May CPI and peso depreciation risks (to ARS1,676/USD by December) as key swing factors.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,725Ngày kết thúc
Jan 10, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders' consensus clusters implied probabilities tightly across 30-44.9% bins for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation, with 30.0-34.9% leading at 29.8%, mirroring central bank REM survey median year-end forecasts of 30.5% and IMF projections near 30.4%. April's consumer price index rose just 2.6% month-on-month—the first slowdown in 11 months after March's 3.4% acceleration—easing annual inflation to 32.4% from 32.6%, bolstering optimism for President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. However, persistent underlying monthly trends around 2.0-2.5%, recent analyst upgrades amid oil shocks and trimmed GDP outlooks to 2.8%, sustain contention, with May CPI and peso depreciation risks (to ARS1,676/USD by December) as key swing factors.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$9,725Ngày kết thúc
Jan 10, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders' consensus clusters implied probabilities tightly across 30-44.9% bins for Argentina's 2026 annual inflation, with 30.0-34.9% leading at 29.8%, mirroring central bank REM survey median year-end forecasts of 30.5% and IMF projections near 30.4%. April's consumer price index rose just 2.6% month-on-month—the first slowdown in 11 months after March's 3.4% acceleration—easing annual inflation to 32.4% from 32.6%, bolstering optimism for President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening. However, persistent underlying monthly trends around 2.0-2.5%, recent analyst upgrades amid oil shocks and trimmed GDP outlooks to 2.8%, sustain contention, with May CPI and peso depreciation risks (to ARS1,676/USD by December) as key swing factors.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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