Geopolitical tensions from the ongoing US-Israeli conflict with Iran have driven the primary catalyst for US retail gasoline prices, which recently surpassed $4.50 per gallon amid disruptions to Strait of Hormuz crude flows. This has tightened global supply, accelerated inventory draws, and amplified seasonal refinery maintenance impacts that typically peak in May ahead of summer driving demand. Trader sentiment reflects these macro pressures, with implied odds sensitive to any de-escalation signals that could ease the oil premium, alongside upcoming EIA inventory reports and potential shifts in refinery utilization rates. Current levels sit well above long-term EIA averages, underscoring how short-term supply risks continue to dominate near-term pricing dynamics through month-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$139,717 KL.
May 31, 2026
↑ $5.00
17%
↑ $4.70
52%
↑ $4.60
69%
↓ $4.25
13%
↓ $4.20
16%
↓ $4.10
14%
↓ $4.00
10%
↓ $3.75
4%
↓ $3.50
2%
$139,717 KL.
↑ $5.00
$21,330 KL.
17%
↑ $4.70
$11,368 KL.
52%
↑ $4.60
$11,504 KL.
69%
↓ $4.25
$2,466 KL.
13%
↓ $4.20
$1,860 KL.
16%
↓ $4.10
$796 KL.
14%
↓ $4.00
$884 KL.
10%
↓ $3.75
$1,486 KL.
4%
↓ $3.50
$6,945 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Geopolitical tensions from the ongoing US-Israeli conflict with Iran have driven the primary catalyst for US retail gasoline prices, which recently surpassed $4.50 per gallon amid disruptions to Strait of Hormuz crude flows. This has tightened global supply, accelerated inventory draws, and amplified seasonal refinery maintenance impacts that typically peak in May ahead of summer driving demand. Trader sentiment reflects these macro pressures, with implied odds sensitive to any de-escalation signals that could ease the oil premium, alongside upcoming EIA inventory reports and potential shifts in refinery utilization rates. Current levels sit well above long-term EIA averages, underscoring how short-term supply risks continue to dominate near-term pricing dynamics through month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Khối lượng
$139,717Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Geopolitical tensions from the ongoing US-Israeli conflict with Iran have driven the primary catalyst for US retail gasoline prices, which recently surpassed $4.50 per gallon amid disruptions to Strait of Hormuz crude flows. This has tightened global supply, accelerated inventory draws, and amplified seasonal refinery maintenance impacts that typically peak in May ahead of summer driving demand. Trader sentiment reflects these macro pressures, with implied odds sensitive to any de-escalation signals that could ease the oil premium, alongside upcoming EIA inventory reports and potential shifts in refinery utilization rates. Current levels sit well above long-term EIA averages, underscoring how short-term supply risks continue to dominate near-term pricing dynamics through month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and May 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Khối lượng
$139,717Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions from the ongoing US-Israeli conflict with Iran have driven the primary catalyst for US retail gasoline prices, which recently surpassed $4.50 per gallon amid disruptions to Strait of Hormuz crude flows. This has tightened global supply, accelerated inventory draws, and amplified seasonal refinery maintenance impacts that typically peak in May ahead of summer driving demand. Trader sentiment reflects these macro pressures, with implied odds sensitive to any de-escalation signals that could ease the oil premium, alongside upcoming EIA inventory reports and potential shifts in refinery utilization rates. Current levels sit well above long-term EIA averages, underscoring how short-term supply risks continue to dominate near-term pricing dynamics through month-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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