Recent Middle East conflict disruptions, including Strait of Hormuz constraints tied to the Iran situation, have sharply reduced actual OPEC+ crude output despite quota adjustments. April production averaged 33.19 million barrels per day, down 1.74 million from March, with further limits expected in May after the UAE's May 1 exit removed roughly 3.4 million barrels per day from reported totals. Eight core members approved a 206,000-barrel-per-day quota increase for May, followed by a smaller 188,000-barrel hike for June among the remaining seven, yet compliance remains low amid ongoing export bottlenecks. Traders monitor secondary source data in the upcoming June OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report to assess whether May averages exceed the unresolved threshold, with any de-escalation or supply recovery serving as key swing factors.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
18 Million
28%

19 Million
29%

20 Million
14%

21 Million
8%
$4,042 KL.

18 Million
28%

19 Million
29%

20 Million
14%

21 Million
8%
The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
Thị trường mở: Apr 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report is scheduled to be published on June 11, 2026
The relevant figure is the Total OPEC crude oil production for the month of May 2026, as reported by secondary sources. This figure is typically published in thousands of barrels per day in the row labeled “Total OPEC” of Table 5-7 of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report (DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d). The figure will be converted to barrels per day for resolution.
Crude oil production for non-OPEC (including OPEC+) countries will not be considered.
If the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for June 2026 is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, or if it is released and the relevant data is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be the June 2026 OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, typically published at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of specificity that will be used to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Middle East conflict disruptions, including Strait of Hormuz constraints tied to the Iran situation, have sharply reduced actual OPEC+ crude output despite quota adjustments. April production averaged 33.19 million barrels per day, down 1.74 million from March, with further limits expected in May after the UAE's May 1 exit removed roughly 3.4 million barrels per day from reported totals. Eight core members approved a 206,000-barrel-per-day quota increase for May, followed by a smaller 188,000-barrel hike for June among the remaining seven, yet compliance remains low amid ongoing export bottlenecks. Traders monitor secondary source data in the upcoming June OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report to assess whether May averages exceed the unresolved threshold, with any de-escalation or supply recovery serving as key swing factors.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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