Recent U.S. licensing expansions and eased sanctions have driven renewed foreign investment into Venezuela’s upstream sector, with majors including Chevron advancing Orinoco Belt projects and exports climbing to 1.23 million barrels per day in April 2026. Production itself reached 1.03 million bpd that month, up from sub-1 million levels late last year, supported by inventory draws and incremental well workovers. Traders are pricing the probability of further gains toward year-end 2026 targets against persistent infrastructure decay that historically caps sustainable output well below pre-2019 peaks, even as OPEC secondary-source data and EIA forecasts highlight a potential 300,000–500,000 bpd lift by December. Key upcoming catalysts include quarterly PDVSA reports and any additional Treasury approvals that could accelerate or stall the recovery trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$110,970 KL.
Feb 28, 2027
1.1m
98%
1.2m
77%
1.3m
44%
1.4m
22%
1.5m
8%
1.7m
4%
2m
4%
$110,970 KL.
1.1m
$14,523 KL.
98%
1.2m
$9,230 KL.
77%
1.3m
$6,900 KL.
44%
1.4m
$16,848 KL.
22%
1.5m
$7,998 KL.
8%
1.7m
$3,757 KL.
4%
2m
$12,636 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. licensing expansions and eased sanctions have driven renewed foreign investment into Venezuela’s upstream sector, with majors including Chevron advancing Orinoco Belt projects and exports climbing to 1.23 million barrels per day in April 2026. Production itself reached 1.03 million bpd that month, up from sub-1 million levels late last year, supported by inventory draws and incremental well workovers. Traders are pricing the probability of further gains toward year-end 2026 targets against persistent infrastructure decay that historically caps sustainable output well below pre-2019 peaks, even as OPEC secondary-source data and EIA forecasts highlight a potential 300,000–500,000 bpd lift by December. Key upcoming catalysts include quarterly PDVSA reports and any additional Treasury approvals that could accelerate or stall the recovery trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Thị trường mở: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$110,970Ngày kết thúc
Feb 28, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. licensing expansions and eased sanctions have driven renewed foreign investment into Venezuela’s upstream sector, with majors including Chevron advancing Orinoco Belt projects and exports climbing to 1.23 million barrels per day in April 2026. Production itself reached 1.03 million bpd that month, up from sub-1 million levels late last year, supported by inventory draws and incremental well workovers. Traders are pricing the probability of further gains toward year-end 2026 targets against persistent infrastructure decay that historically caps sustainable output well below pre-2019 peaks, even as OPEC secondary-source data and EIA forecasts highlight a potential 300,000–500,000 bpd lift by December. Key upcoming catalysts include quarterly PDVSA reports and any additional Treasury approvals that could accelerate or stall the recovery trajectory.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Khối lượng
$110,970Ngày kết thúc
Feb 28, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. licensing expansions and eased sanctions have driven renewed foreign investment into Venezuela’s upstream sector, with majors including Chevron advancing Orinoco Belt projects and exports climbing to 1.23 million barrels per day in April 2026. Production itself reached 1.03 million bpd that month, up from sub-1 million levels late last year, supported by inventory draws and incremental well workovers. Traders are pricing the probability of further gains toward year-end 2026 targets against persistent infrastructure decay that historically caps sustainable output well below pre-2019 peaks, even as OPEC secondary-source data and EIA forecasts highlight a potential 300,000–500,000 bpd lift by December. Key upcoming catalysts include quarterly PDVSA reports and any additional Treasury approvals that could accelerate or stall the recovery trajectory.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp