Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture by American special forces during strikes on Caracas, where he and his wife face longstanding Department of Justice charges including narcoterrorism and drug trafficking. The interim Venezuelan government led by Delcy Rodríguez has accelerated releases of domestic political prisoners and American detainees while publicly pressing for Maduro’s return, yet U.S. proceedings have advanced slowly through arraignment, not-guilty pleas, and status hearings adjourned into spring 2026 under special administrative measures. Traders assign modest near-term release odds because bail remains unavailable, legal challenges to the arrest’s extraterritorial reach could reach the Supreme Court, and any resolution hinges on plea negotiations, trial scheduling, or unforeseen health developments within the current resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$2,625,811 KL.
Jan 31, 2026
31 tháng 12
14%
$2,625,811 KL.
31 tháng 12
$230,362 KL.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture by American special forces during strikes on Caracas, where he and his wife face longstanding Department of Justice charges including narcoterrorism and drug trafficking. The interim Venezuelan government led by Delcy Rodríguez has accelerated releases of domestic political prisoners and American detainees while publicly pressing for Maduro’s return, yet U.S. proceedings have advanced slowly through arraignment, not-guilty pleas, and status hearings adjourned into spring 2026 under special administrative measures. Traders assign modest near-term release odds because bail remains unavailable, legal challenges to the arrest’s extraterritorial reach could reach the Supreme Court, and any resolution hinges on plea negotiations, trial scheduling, or unforeseen health developments within the current resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,625,811Ngày kết thúc
Jan 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture by American special forces during strikes on Caracas, where he and his wife face longstanding Department of Justice charges including narcoterrorism and drug trafficking. The interim Venezuelan government led by Delcy Rodríguez has accelerated releases of domestic political prisoners and American detainees while publicly pressing for Maduro’s return, yet U.S. proceedings have advanced slowly through arraignment, not-guilty pleas, and status hearings adjourned into spring 2026 under special administrative measures. Traders assign modest near-term release odds because bail remains unavailable, legal challenges to the arrest’s extraterritorial reach could reach the Supreme Court, and any resolution hinges on plea negotiations, trial scheduling, or unforeseen health developments within the current resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$2,625,811Ngày kết thúc
Jan 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture by American special forces during strikes on Caracas, where he and his wife face longstanding Department of Justice charges including narcoterrorism and drug trafficking. The interim Venezuelan government led by Delcy Rodríguez has accelerated releases of domestic political prisoners and American detainees while publicly pressing for Maduro’s return, yet U.S. proceedings have advanced slowly through arraignment, not-guilty pleas, and status hearings adjourned into spring 2026 under special administrative measures. Traders assign modest near-term release odds because bail remains unavailable, legal challenges to the arrest’s extraterritorial reach could reach the Supreme Court, and any resolution hinges on plea negotiations, trial scheduling, or unforeseen health developments within the current resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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