Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his capture by American special forces during a January 3, 2026 military operation in Caracas. He and his wife face narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, to which they have pleaded not guilty, with proceedings including a July 2026 court appearance. Venezuela’s interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez and shifting U.S.-Venezuela diplomatic and economic ties create potential channels for negotiations, prisoner exchanges, or plea arrangements that could influence release timing. Ongoing legal processes, any scheduled hearings, and broader bilateral relations represent key variables for traders assessing resolution scenarios.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$2,687,688 KL.
Jan 31, 2026
31 tháng 12
7%
$2,687,688 KL.
31 tháng 12
$292,239 KL.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his capture by American special forces during a January 3, 2026 military operation in Caracas. He and his wife face narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, to which they have pleaded not guilty, with proceedings including a July 2026 court appearance. Venezuela’s interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez and shifting U.S.-Venezuela diplomatic and economic ties create potential channels for negotiations, prisoner exchanges, or plea arrangements that could influence release timing. Ongoing legal processes, any scheduled hearings, and broader bilateral relations represent key variables for traders assessing resolution scenarios.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,687,688Ngày kết thúc
Jan 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his capture by American special forces during a January 3, 2026 military operation in Caracas. He and his wife face narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, to which they have pleaded not guilty, with proceedings including a July 2026 court appearance. Venezuela’s interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez and shifting U.S.-Venezuela diplomatic and economic ties create potential channels for negotiations, prisoner exchanges, or plea arrangements that could influence release timing. Ongoing legal processes, any scheduled hearings, and broader bilateral relations represent key variables for traders assessing resolution scenarios.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$2,687,688Ngày kết thúc
Jan 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his capture by American special forces during a January 3, 2026 military operation in Caracas. He and his wife face narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges in the Southern District of New York, to which they have pleaded not guilty, with proceedings including a July 2026 court appearance. Venezuela’s interim leadership under Delcy Rodríguez and shifting U.S.-Venezuela diplomatic and economic ties create potential channels for negotiations, prisoner exchanges, or plea arrangements that could influence release timing. Ongoing legal processes, any scheduled hearings, and broader bilateral relations represent key variables for traders assessing resolution scenarios.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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